Items where NERC Author is "Bracegirdle, Thomas"

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Holmes, Caroline R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Holland, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; Stroeve, Julienne; Wilkinson, Jeremy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7166-3042. 2024 Brief communication: New perspectives on the skill of modelled sea ice trends in light of recent Antarctic sea ice loss. The Cryosphere, 18 (12). 5641-5652. 10.5194/tc-18-5641-2024

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Caton Harrison, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-7039; Holmes, Caroline R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Martineau, Patrick; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157. 2024 Antarctic extreme seasons under 20th and 21st century climate change. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 276. 12, pp. 10.1038/s41612-024-00822-y

Jones, Colin G.; Adloff, Fanny; Booth, Ben B. B.; Cox, Peter M.; Eyring, Veronika; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Frieler, Katja; Hewitt, Helene T.; Jeffery, Hazel A.; Joussaume, Sylvie; Koenigk, Torben; Lawrence, Bryan N.; O'Rourke, Eleanor; Roberts, Malcolm J.; Sanderson, Benjamin M.; Séférian, Roland; Somot, Samuel; Vidale, Pier Luigi; van Vuuren, Detlef; Acosta, Mario; Bentsen, Mats; Bernardello, Raffaele; Betts, Richard; Blockley, Ed; Boé, Julien; Bracegirdle, Tom ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Braconnot, Pascale; Brovkin, Victor; Buontempo, Carlo; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Donat, Markus; Epicoco, Italo; Falloon, Pete; Fiore, Sandro; Frölicher, Thomas; Fučkar, Neven S.; Gidden, Matthew J.; Goessling, Helge F.; Graversen, Rune Grand; Gualdi, Silvio; Gutiérrez, José M.; Ilyina, Tatiana; Jacob, Daniela; Jones, Chris D.; Juckes, Martin; Kendon, Elizabeth; Kjellström, Erik; Knutti, Reto; Lowe, Jason; Mizielinski, Matthew; Nassisi, Paola; Obersteiner, Michael; Regnier, Pierre; Roehrig, Romain; Salas y Mélia, David; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Schulz, Michael; Scoccimarro, Enrico; Terray, Laurent; Thiemann, Hannes; Wood, Richard A.; Yang, Shuting; Zaehle, Sönke. 2024 Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. Earth System Dynamics, 15 (5). 1319-1351. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024

Collins, Matthew; Beverley, Jonathan D.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Catto, Jennifer; McCrystall, Michelle; Dittus, Andrea; Freychet, Nicolas; Grist, Jeremy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1068-9211; Hegerl, Gabriele C.; Holland, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; Holmes, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Josey, Simon A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831; Joshi, Manoj; Hawkins, Ed; Lo, Eunice; Lord, Natalie; Mitchell, Dann; Monerie, Paul-Arthur; Priestley, Matthew D. K.; Scaife, Adam; Screen, James; Senior, Natasha; Sexton, David; Shuckburgh, Emily; Siegert, Stefan; Simpson, Charles; Stephenson, David B.; Sutton, Rowan; Thompson, Vikki; Wilcox, Laura J.; Woollings, Tim. 2024 Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world. Frontiers in Science, 2, 1340323. 20, pp. 10.3389/fsci.2024.1340323

Caton Harrison, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-7039; King, John C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082. 2024 Dynamics of extreme wind events in the marine and terrestrial sectors of coastal Antarctica. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150 (762). 2646-2666. 10.1002/qj.4727

Hansen, Nicolaj; Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Zou, Xun; Boberg, Fredrik; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Gilbert, Ella ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5272-8894; Langen, Peter L.; Lazzara, Matthew A.; Mottram, Ruth; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Price, Ruth ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1981-9860; Simonsen, Sebastian B.; Webster, Stuart. 2024 The importance of cloud properties when assessing surface melting in an offline-coupled firn model over Ross Ice shelf, West Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 18 (6). 2897-2916. 10.5194/tc-18-2897-2024

Gao, Qinggang; Sime, Louise C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9093-7926; McLaren, Alison J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-2195-1758; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Capron, Emilie; Rhodes, Rachael H.; Steen-Larsen, Hans Christian; Shi, Xiaoxu; Werner, Martin. 2024 Evaporative controls on Antarctic precipitation: an ECHAM6 model study using innovative water tracer diagnostics. The Cryosphere, 18 (2). 683-703. 10.5194/tc-18-683-2024

Wille, Jonathan D.; Alexander, Simon P.; Amory, Charles; Baiman, Rebecca; Barthélemy, Léonard; Bergstrom, Dana M.; Berne, Alexis; Binder, Hanin; Blanchet, Juliette; Bozkurt, Deniz; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Casado, Mathieu; Choi, Taejin; Clem, Kyle R.; Codron, Francis; Datta, Rajashree; Di Battista, Stefano; Favier, Vincent; Francis, Diana; Fraser, Alexander D.; Fourré, Elise; Garreaud, René D.; Genthon, Christophe; Gorodetskaya, Irina V.; González-Herrero, Sergi; Heinrich, Victoria J.; Hubert, Guillaume; Joos, Hanna; Kim, Seong-Joong; King, John C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Kittel, Christoph; Landais, Amaelle; Lazzara, Matthew; Leonard, Gregory H.; Lieser, Jan L.; Maclennan, Michelle; Mikolajczyk, David; Neff, Peter; Ollivier, Inès; Sprenger, Michael; Trusel, Luke; Udy, Danielle; Vance, Tessa; Vignon, Étienne; Walker, Catherine; Weaver, Nander; Zou, Xun. 2024 The Extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica "Heat" Wave. Part I: Observations and Meteorological Drivers. Journal of Climate, 37 (3). 757-778. 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0175.1

Wille, Jonathan D.; Alexander, Simon P.; Amory, Charles; Baiman, Rebecca; Barthélemy, Léonard; Bergstrom, Dana M.; Berne, Alexis; Binder, Hanin; Blanchet, Juliette; Bozkurt, Deniz; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Casado, Mathieu; Choi, Taejin; Clem, Kyle R.; Codron, Francis; Datta, Rajashree; Di Battista, Stefano; Favier, Vincent; Francis, Diana; Fraser, Alexander D.; Fourré, Elise; Garreaud, René D.; Genthon, Christophe; Gorodetskaya, Irina V.; González-Herrero, Sergi; Heinrich, Victoria J.; Hubert, Guillaume; Joos, Hanna; Kim, Seong-Joong; King, John C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Kittel, Christoph; Landais, Amaelle; Lazzara, Matthew; Leonard, Gregory H.; Lieser, Jan L.; Maclennan, Michelle; Mikolajczyk, David; Neff, Peter; Ollivier, Inès; Sprenger, Michael; Trusel, Luke; Udy, Danielle; Vance, Tessa; Vignon, Étienne; Walker, Catherine; Wever, Nander; Zou, Xun. 2024 The Extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica "Heat" Wave. Part II: Impacts on the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Journal of Climate, 37 (3). 779-799. 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0176.1

Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; King, John C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Gilbert, Ella ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5272-8894; Colwell, Steve R.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2023 Extreme warm events in the South Orkney Islands, Southern Ocean: Compounding influence of atmospheric rivers and föhn conditions. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (757). 3645-3668. 10.1002/qj.4578

Siegert, Martin; Bentley, Mike J.; Atkinson, Angus; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Convey, Peter ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903; Davies, Bethan; Downie, Rod; Hogg, Anna E.; Holmes, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Hughes, Kevin A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2701-726X; Meredith, Michael P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-7756; Ross, Neil; Rumble, Jane; Wilkinson, Jeremy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7166-3042. 2023 Antarctic extreme events. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 11, 1229283. 15, pp. 10.3389/fenvs.2023.1229283

Marcheggiani, Andrea; Robson, Jon; Monerie, Paul-Arthur; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Smith, Doug. 2023 Decadal Predictability of the North Atlantic Eddy-Driven Jet in Winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8), e2022GL102071. 9, pp. 10.1029/2022GL102071

Holland, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; O'Connor, Gemma K.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Dutrieux, Pierre ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8066-934X; Naughten, Kaitlin A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9475-9162; Steig, Eric J.; Schneider, David P.; Jenkins, Adrian; Smith, James A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1333-2544. 2022 Anthropogenic and internal drivers of wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, during the 20th and 21st centuries. The Cryosphere, 16 (12). 5085-5105. 10.5194/tc-16-5085-2022

Caton Harrison, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-7039; Biri, Stavroula ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5402-1072; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; King, John C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Kent, Elizabeth C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6209-4247; Vignon, Étienne; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122. 2022 Reanalysis representation of low-level winds in the Antarctic near-coastal region. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (4). 1415-1437. 10.5194/wcd-3-1415-2022

Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2022 Early‐to-late winter 20th century North Atlantic multidecadal atmospheric variability in observations, CMIP5 and CMIP6. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (11), e2022GL098212. 9, pp. 10.1029/2022GL098212

Ayres, Holly C.; Screen, James A.; Blockley, Edward W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2022 The coupled atmosphere-ocean response to Antarctic sea-ice loss. Journal of Climate, 35 (14). 4665-4685. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0918.1

Holmes, C.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Holland, P.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X. 2022 Antarctic sea ice projections constrained by historical ice cover and future global temperature change. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (10), e2021GL097413. 10, pp. 10.1029/2021GL097413

Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Robson, Jon. 2021 Early-winter North Atlantic low-level jet latitude biases in climate models: Implications for simulated regional atmosphere-ocean linkages. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1), 014025. 14, pp. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac417f

Patterson, Matthew; Woollings, Tim; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2021 Tropical and subtropical forcing of future Southern Hemisphere stationary wave changes. Journal of Climate, 34 (19). 7897-7912. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0075.1

Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Gray, Lesley J.; Martineau, Patrick; King, John C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2021 Regime behavior in the upper stratosphere as a precursor of stratosphere-troposphere coupling in the northern winter. Journal of Climate, 34 (18). 7677-7696. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0831.1

Payne, Antony J.; Nowicki, Sophie; Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay‐Davis, Xylar; Aschwanden, Andy; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Calov, Reinhard; Chambers, Christopher; Choi, Youngmin; Cullather, Richard; Cuzzone, Joshua; Dumas, Christophe; Edwards, Tamsin L.; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Goelzer, Heiko; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Le clec'h, Sebastien; Lee, Victoria; Leguy, Gunter; Lipscomb, William H.; Little, Christopher M.; Lowry, Daniel P.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Rückamp, Martin; Schlegel, Nicole‐Jeanne; Seroussi, Hélène; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Tarasov, Lev; Trusel, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; van de Wal, Roderik; van den Broeke, Michiel; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas. 2021 Future sea level change under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 and 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (16), e2020GL091741. 8, pp. 10.1029/2020GL091741

Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Martineau, Patrick; Gerber, Edwin P.; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2021 Is our dynamical understanding of the circulation changes associated with the Antarctic ozone hole sensitive to the choice of reanalysis dataset? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (10). 7451-7472. 10.5194/acp-21-7451-2021

Sansom, Philip G.; Stephenson, David B.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2021 On constraining projections of future climate using observations and simulations from multiple climate models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116 (534). 546-557. 10.1080/01621459.2020.1851696

Patterson, Matthew; Woollings, Tim; Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Lewis, Neil T.. 2020 Wintertime Southern Hemisphere jet streams shaped by interaction of transient eddies with Antarctic orography. Journal of Climate, 33 (24). 10505-10522. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0153.1

Robson, Jon; Aksenov, Yevgeny ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6132-3434; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Dimdore-Miles, Oscar; Griffiths, Paul T.; Grosvenor, Daniel P.; Hodson, Daniel L.R.; Keeble, James; Megann, Alex ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0975-6317; Osprey, Scott; Povey, Adam C.; Schröder, David; Yang, Mingxi; Archibald, Alexander T.; Carslaw, Ken S.; Gray, Lesley; Jones, Colin; Kerridge, Brian; Knappett, Diane; Kuhlbrodt, Till; Russo, Maria; Sellar, Alistair; Siddans, Richard; Sinha, Bablu; Sutton, Rowan; Walton, Jeremy; Wilcox, Laura J.. 2020 The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9), e2020MS002126. 10.1029/2020MS002126

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Krinner, Gerhard; Tonelli, Marcos; Haumann, F. Alexander; Naughten, Kaitlin A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9475-9162; Rackow, Thomas; Roach, Lettie A.; Wainer, Ilana. 2020 Twenty first century changes in Antarctic and Southern Ocean surface climate in CMIP6. Atmospheric Science Letters, 21 (9), e984. 10.1002/asl.984

Nowicki, Sophie; Goelzer, Heiko; Seroussi, Hélène; Payne, Anthony J.; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Asay-Davis, Xylar S.; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Cullather, Richard; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Hattermann, Tore; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kuipers Munneke, Peter; Larour, Eric; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Trusel, Luke D.; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; van de Wal, Roderik. 2020 Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models. The Cryosphere, 14 (7). 2331-2368. 10.5194/tc-14-2331-2020

Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Holmes, C.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Hosking, J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Marshall, G.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Osman, M.; Patterson, M.; Rackow, T.. 2020 Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5. Earth and Space Science, 7 (6), e2019EA001065. 12, pp. 10.1029/2019EA001065

Barthel, Alice; Agosta, Cécile; Little, Christopher M.; Hattermann, Tore; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Goelzer, Heiko; Nowicki, Sophie; Seroussi, Helene; Straneo, Fiammetta; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2020 CMIP5 model selection for ISMIP6 ice sheet model forcing: Greenland and Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 14 (3). 855-879. 10.5194/tc-14-855-2020

Allen, Claire ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0938-0551; Thomas, Elizabeth R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Blagbrough, Hilary ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6904-777X; Tetzner, Dieter ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7659-8799; Warren, Richard A.; Ludlow, Emily C.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2020 Preliminary evidence for the role played by south westerly wind strength on the marine diatom content of an Antarctic Peninsula ice core (1980–2010). Geosciences, 10 (3), 87. 10.3390/geosciences10030087

Pope, James O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8945-4209; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Renfrew, Ian A.; Elvidge, Andrew D.. 2020 The impact of wintertime sea ice anomalies on high surface heat flux events in the Iceland and Greenland Seas. Climate Dynamics, 54. 1937-1952. 10.1007/s00382-019-05095-3

Patterson, Matthew; Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Woolings, Tim. 2019 Southern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking in CMIP5 and future changes in the Australia‐New Zealand sector. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (15). 9281-9290. 10.1029/2019GL083264

Holland, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Dutrieux, Pierre; Jenkins, Adrian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9117-0616; Steig, Eric J.. 2019 West Antarctic ice loss influenced by internal climate variability and anthropogenic forcing. Nature Geoscience, 12. 718-724. 10.1038/s41561-019-0420-9

Renfrew, I. A.; Pickart, R. S.; Våge, K.; Moore, G. W. K.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Elvidge, A. D.; Jeansson, E.; Lachlan-Cope, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0657-3235; McRaven, L.T.; Papritz, L.; Reuder, J.; Sodemann, H.; Terpstra, A.; Waterman, S.; Valdimarsson, H.; Weiss, Alexandra; Almansi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6849-3647; Bahr, F.; Brakstad, A.; Barrell, C.; Brooke, J. K.; Brooks, B.J.; Brooks, I. M.; Brooks, M. E.; Bruvik, E. M.; Duscha, C.; Fer, I.; Golid, H. M.; Hallerstig, M.; Hessevik, I.; Huang, J.; Houghton, L.; Jónsson, S.; Jonassen, M.; Jackson, K.; Kvalsund, K.; Kolstad, E. W.; Konstali, K.; Kristiansen, J.; Ladkin, Russell; Lin, P.; Macrander, A.; Mitchell, A.; Olafsson, H.; Pacini, A.; Payne, C.; Palmason, B.; Pérez-Hernández, M. D.; Peterson, A. K.; Petersen, G. N.; Pisareva, M. N.; Pope, James O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8945-4209; Seidl, A.; Semper, S.; Sergeev, D.; Skjelsvik, S.; Søiland, H.; Smith, D.; Spall, M. A.; Spengler, T.; Touzeau, A.; Tupper, G.; Weng, Y.; Williams, K. D.; Yang, X.; Zhou, S.. 2019 The Iceland Greenland Seas Project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9). 1795-1817. 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0217.1

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Colleoni, Florence; Abram, Nerilie J.; Bertler, Nancy A.N.; Dixon, Daniel A.; England, Mark; Favier, Vincent; Fogwill, Chris J.; Fyfe, John C.; Goodwin, Ian; Goose, Hugues; Hobbs, Will; Jones, Julie M.; Keller, Elizabeth D.; Khan, Alia L.; Phipps, Steven J.; Raphael, Marilyn N.; Russell, Joellen; Sime, Louise ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9093-7926; Thomas, Elizabeth R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; Wainer, Ilana. 2019 Back to the Future: Using long-term observational and paleo-proxy reconstructions to improve model projections of Antarctic climate. Geosciences, 9 (6), 255. 10.3390/geosciences9060255

Holmes, Caroline R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Holland, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2019 Compensating biases and a noteworthy success in the CMIP5 representation of Antarctic sea ice processes. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (8). 4299-4307. 10.1029/2018GL081796

Screen, James A.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Simmonds, I.. 2018 Polar climate change as manifest in atmospheric circulation. Current Climate Change Reports, 4 (4). 383-395. 10.1007/s40641-018-0111-4

Hyder, Patrick; Edwards, John M.; Allan, Richard P.; Hewitt, Helene T.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Wood, Richard A.; Meijers, Andrew J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3876-7736; Mulcahy, Jane; Field, Paul; Furtado, Kalli; Bodas-Salcedo, Alejandro; Williams, Keith D.; Copsey, Dan; Josey, Simon A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831; Liu, Chunlei; Roberts, Chris D.; Sanchez, Claudio; Ridley, Jeff; Thorpe, Livia; Hardiman, Steven C.; Mayar, Michael; Berry, David I.; Belcher, Stephen E.. 2018 Critical Southern Ocean climate model biases traced to atmospheric model cloud errors. Nature Communications, 9, 3625. 10.1038/s41467-018-05634-2

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Eade, Rosie; Woollings, Tim. 2018 Do CMIP5 models reproduce observed low-frequency North Atlantic jet variability? Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (14). 7204-7212. 10.1029/2018GL078965

Biersma, Elisabeth M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9877-2177; Jackson, Jennifer A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4158-1924; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Griffiths, Howard; Linse, Katrin ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3477-3047; Convey, Peter ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903. 2018 Low genetic variation between South American and Antarctic populations of the bank-forming moss Chorisodontium aciphyllum (Dicranaceae). Polar Biology, 41 (4). 599-610. 10.1007/s00300-017-2221-1

Li, Camille; Michel, Clio; Graff, Lise Seland; Bethke, Ingo; Zappa, Giuseppe; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Fischer, Erich; Harvey, Ben J.; Trond, Iversen; King, Martin P.; Krishnan, Harinarayan; Lierhammer, Ludwig; Mitchell, Daniel; Scinocca, John; Shiogama, Hideo; Stone, Dáithí A.; Wettstein, Justin J.. 2018 Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming and implications for regional impacts. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (2). 359-382. 10.5194/esd-2017-107

Gutt, J.; Isla, E.; Bertler, A.N.; Bodeker, G.E.; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Cavanagh, R.D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2474-9716; Comiso, J.C.; Convey, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903; Cummings, V.; De Conto, R.; De Master, D.; di Prisco, G.; d'Ovidio, F.; Griffiths, H.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1764-223X; Khan, A.L.; Lopez-Martinez, J.; Murray, A.E.; Nielsen, U.N.; Ott, S.; Post, A.; Ropert-Coudert, Y.; Saucede, T.; Scherer, R.; Schiaparelli, S.; Schloss, I.R.; Smith, C.R.; Stefels, J.; Stevens, C.; Strugnell, J.M.; Trimborn, S.; Verde, C.; Verleyen, E.; Wall, D.H.; Wilson, N.G.; Xavier, J.C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9621-6660. 2018 Cross-disciplinarity in the advance of Antarctic ecosystem research. Marine Genomics, 37. 1-17. 10.1016/j.margen.2017.09.006

McKenna, Christine M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9677-4582; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Shuckburgh, Emily F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3444; Haynes, Peter H.; Joshi, Manoj M.. 2018 Arctic Sea Ice Loss in Different Regions Leads to Contrasting Northern Hemisphere Impacts. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (2). 945-954. 10.1002/2017GL076433

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Hyder, Patrick; Holmes, Caroline R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X. 2018 CMIP5 diversity in southern westerly jet projections related to historical sea ice area; strong link to strengthening and weak link to shift. Journal of Climate, 31 (1). 195-211. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0320.1

Griffiths, Huw J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1764-223X; Meijers, Andrew J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3876-7736; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2017 More losers than winners in a century of future Southern Ocean seafloor warming. Nature Climate Change, 7 (10). 749-754. 10.1038/nclimate3377

Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Gray, Lesley J.; White, Ian P.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2017 Stratospheric response to the 11-year solar cycle: Breaking planetary waves, internal reflection and resonance. Journal of Climate, 30 (18). 7169-7190. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0023.1

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Pope, James O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8945-4209; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Deb, Pranab. 2017 Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (13). 6868-6875. 10.1002/2017GL073656

Lee, Jasmine R.; Raymond, Ben; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Chades, Iadine; Fuller, Richard A.; Shaw, Justine D.; Terauds, Aleks. 2017 Climate change drives expansion of Antarctic ice-free habitat. Nature, 547 (7661). 49-54. 10.1038/nature22996

Boland, Emma J.D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2430-7763; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Shuckburgh, Emily F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3444. 2017 Assessment of sea ice-atmosphere links in CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 49 (1-2). 683-702. 10.1007/s00382-016-3367-1

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314. 2017 Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves. International Journal of Climatology, 35 (5). 2325-2336. 10.1002/joc.4848

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Gudmundsson, G. Hilmar ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4236-5369; Jenkins, Adrian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9117-0616; Bingham, Robert G.; Hillenbrand, Claus-Dieter ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0240-7317; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2017 Atmosphere-ocean-ice interactions in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica. Reviews of Geophysics, 55 (1). 235-276. 10.1002/2016RG000532

Kolstad, E. W.; Bracegirdle, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2017 Sensitivity of an apparently hurricane-like polar low to sea surface temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (703). 966-973. 10.1002/qj.2980

Sime, Louise S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9093-7926; Hodgson, Dominic ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3841-3746; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Allen, Claire ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0938-0551; Perren, Bianca ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6089-6468; Roberts, Stephen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3407-9127; de Boer, Agatha M.. 2016 Sea ice led to poleward-shifted winds at the Last Glacial Maximum: the influence of state dependency on CMIP5 and PMIP3 models. Climate of the Past, 12 (12). 2241-2253. 10.5194/cp-12-2241-2016

Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Zahn, Matthias. 2016 Re-examining the roles of surface heat flux and latent heat release in a “hurricane-like” polar low over the Barents Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (13). 7853-7867. 10.1002/2015JD024633

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Barrand, Nicholas E.; Kusahara, Kazuya; Wainer, Ilana. 2016 Predicting Antarctic climate using climate models. Antarctic Environments Portal.

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2016 Antarctic sea ice increase consistent with intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low. Climate Dynamics, 46 (7). 2391-2402. 10.1007/s00382-015-2708-9

Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Bertler, N.A.N.; Carleton, A.M.; Ding, Q.; Fogwill, C.J.; Fyfe, J.C.; Hellmer, H.H.; Karpechko, A.Y.; Kusahara, K.; Larour, E.; Mayewski, P.A.; Meier, W.N.; Polvani, L.M.; Russell, J.L.; Stevenson, S.L.; Turner, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; van Wessem, J. M.; van de Berg, W.J.; Wainer, I.. 2016 A multi-disciplinary perspective on climate model evaluation for Antarctica. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (2). ES23-ES26. 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00108.1

Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122. 2016 Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (1). 367-376. 10.1002/2015GL067143

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Stephenson, David B.; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157. 2015 The importance of sea ice area biases in 21st century multimodel projections of Antarctic temperature and precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (24). 10832-10839. 10.1002/2015GL067055

Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2015 An examination of the relationship between the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic surface air temperatures in the CMIP5 historical runs. Climate Dynamics, 45 (5). 1513-1535. 10.1007/s00382-014-2406-z

Mayewski, P. A.; Bracegirdle, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Goodwin, I.; Schneider, D.; Bertler, N. A. N.; Birkel, S.; Carleton, A.; England, M. H.; Kang, J.-H.; Khan, A.; Russell, J.; Turner, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Velicogna, I.. 2015 Potential for Southern Hemisphere climate surprises. Journal of Quaternary Science, 30 (5). 391-395. 10.1002/jqs.2794

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157. 2015 Recent changes in Antarctic sea ice. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, A, 373 (2045), 20140163. 10.1098/rsta.2014.0163

Thomas, Elizabeth R ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Bracegirdle, Thomas J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2015 Precipitation pathways for five new ice core sites in Ellsworth Land, West Antarctica. Climate Dynamics, 44 (7-8). 2067-2078. 10.1007/s00382-014-2213-6

Gutt, Julian; Bertler, Nancy; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Buschmann, Alexander; Comiso, Josefino; Hosie, Graham; Isla, Enrique; Schloss, Irene R.; Smith, Craig R.; Tournadre, Jean; Xavier, Jose C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9621-6660. 2015 The Southern Ocean ecosystem under multiple climate change stresses - an integrated circumpolar assessment. Global Change Biology, 21 (4). 1434-1453. 10.1111/gcb.12794

Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122. 2015 A comparative study of wave forcing derived from the ERA-40 and ERA-interim reanalysis data sets. Journal of Climate, 28 (6). 2291-2311. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00356.1

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157. 2014 Sources of uncertainty in projections of 21st century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models. Climate Dynamics, 43 (7-8). 2093-2104. 10.1007/s00382-013-2032-1

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Barrand, Nicholas E.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Convey, Peter ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903; Hodgson, Dominic A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3841-3746; Jarvis, Martin; Jenkins, Adrian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9117-0616; Marshall, Gareth ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Meredith, Michael P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-7756; Roscoe, Howard; Shanklin, Jon; French, John; Goosse, Hugues; Guglielmin, Mauro; Gutt, Julian; Jacobs, Stan; Kennicutt, Marlon C.; Masson-Delmotte, Valerie; Mayewski, Paul; Navarro, Francisco; Robinson, Sharon; Scambos, Ted; Sparrow, Mike; Summerhayes, Colin; Speer, Kevin; Klepikov, Alexander. 2014 Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update. Polar Record, 50 (254). 237-259. 10.1017/S0032247413000296

Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Bushell, Andrew; Gray, Lesley. 2014 Mechanisms for the Holton-Tan relationship and its decadal variation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (6). 2811-2830. 10.1002/2013JD021352

Thomas, Elizabeth R ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Bracegirdle, Thomas J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Wolff, Eric W. 2013 A 308-year record of climate variability in West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (20). 5492-5496. 10.1002/2013GL057782

Sallee, J.-B.; Shuckburgh, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3444; Bruneau, N.; Meijers, A.J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3876-7736; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Wang, Z.. 2013 Assessment of Southern Ocean mixed-layer depth in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118 (4). 1845-1862. 10.1002/jgrc.20157

Sallee, J.-B.; Shuckburgh, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3444; Bruneau, N.; Meijers, AJ.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3876-7736; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Wang, Z.; Roy, T.. 2013 Assessment of Southern Ocean water mass circulation and characteristics in CMIP5 models: Historical bias and forcing response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118 (4). 1830-1844. 10.1002/jgrc.20135

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2013 Climatology and recent increase of westerly winds over the Amundsen Sea derived from six reanalyses. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (4). 843-851. 10.1002/joc.3473

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504. 2013 An initial assessment of Antarctic Sea ice extent in the CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26 (5). 1473-1484. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00068.1

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Shuckburgh, Emily ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3444; Sallee, Jean-Baptiste; Wang, Zhaomin; Meijers, Andrew J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3876-7736; Bruneau, Nicolas; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Wilcox, Laura J.. 2013 Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (2). 547-562. 10.1002/jgrd.50153

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Stephenson, David B.. 2013 On the robustness of emergent constraints used in multimodel climate change projections of Arctic warming. Journal of Climate, 26 (2). 669-678. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00537.1

Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Feng, Wuhu; Roscoe, Howard K.; Haigh, Joanna D.. 2013 Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. Journal of Climate, 26 (2). 662-668. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00480.1

Gutt, Julian; Adams, Byron; Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Cowan, Don; Cummings, Vonda; di Prisco, Guido; Gradinger, Rolf; Isla, Enrique; McIntyre, Trevor; Murphy, Eugene ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7369-9196; Peck, Lloyd ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3479-6791; Schloss, Irene; Smith, Craig; Suckling, Coleen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8572-0909; Takahashi, Akinori; Verde, Cinza; Wall, Diana H.; Xavier, José ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9621-6660. 2013 Antarctic Thresholds - Ecosystem Resilience and Adaptation" (AnT-ERA), a new SCAR-biology programme. Polarforschung, 82 (2). 147-150.

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Stephenson, David B.. 2012 Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections. Climate Dynamics, 39 (12). 2805-2821. 10.1007/s00382-012-1330-3

Meijers, A.J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3876-7736; Shuckburgh, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3444; Bruneau, N.; Sallee, J.-B.; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Wang, Z.. 2012 Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (C12), C12008. 19, pp. 10.1029/2012JC008412

Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Hosking, J. Scott ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Jung, Thomas; Haigh, Joanna D.; Phillips, Tony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Feng, Wuhu. 2012 Possible dynamical mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere climate change due to the ozone hole. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (10). 2917-2932. 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0210.1

Gutt, Julian; Zurell, Damaris; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Cheung, William; Clark, Melody S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3442-3824; Convey, Peter ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903; Danis, Bruno; David, Bruno; De Broyer, Claude; Di Prisco, Guido; Griffiths, Huw ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1764-223X; Laffont, Rémi; Peck, Lloyd S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3479-6791; Pierrat, Benjamin; Riddle, Martin J.; Saucède, Thomas; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Verde, Cinzia; Wang, Zhaomin ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7103-6025; Grimm, Volker. 2012 Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic: a cross-disciplinary concept. Polar Research, 31. 23, pp. 10.3402/polar.v31i0.11091

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2012 Detection and attribution of Antarctic climate change. Anales del Instituto de la Patagonia, 40 (1). 51-56. 10.4067/S0718-686X2012000100005

Føre, Ivan; Kristjánsson, Jón Egill; Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Saetra, Øyvind; Røsting, Bjørn. 2012 A ‘hurricane-like’ polar low fuelled by sensible heat flux: high-resolution numerical simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (666). 1308-1324. 10.1002/qj.1876

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314. 2012 The reliability of Antarctic tropospheric pressure and temperature in the latest global reanalyses. Journal of Climate, 25 (20). 7138-7146. 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00685.1

Justino, F.; Setzer, A.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Mendes, D.; Grimm, A.; Dechiche, G.; Schaefer, C.E.G.R.. 2011 Harmonic analysis of climatological temperature over Antarctica: present day and greenhouse warming perspectives. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (4). 514-530. 10.1002/joc.2090

Linders, T.; Saetra, Ø.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2011 Limited polar low sensitivity to sea-surface temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (654 Part A). 58-69. 10.1002/qj.718

Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2011 The seasonal cycle of stratosphere-troposphere coupling at southern high latitudes associated with the semi-annual oscillation in sea-level pressure. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). 2323-2333. 10.1007/s00382-011-1014-4

Abram, Nerilie J.; Thomas, Elizabeth R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; McConnell, Joseph R.; Mulvaney, Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5372-8148; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Sime, Louise C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9093-7926; Aristarain, Alberto J.. 2010 Ice core evidence for a 20th century decline in sea ice in the Bellingshausen Sea, Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D23), D23101. 9, pp. 10.1029/2010JD014644

Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Kolstad, Erik W.. 2010 Climatology and variability of Southern Hemisphere marine cold-air outbreaks. Tellus. Series A, 62 A (2). 202-208. 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00431.x

Thomas, E.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Dennis, P. F.; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Franzke, C.. 2009 Ice core evidence for significant 100-year regional warming on the Antarctic Peninsula. Geophysical Research Letters, 36 (20), L20704. 5, pp. 10.1029/2009GL040104

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Comiso, Josefino C.; Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Lachlan-Cope, Tom A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0657-3235; Bracegirdle, Tom ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Maksym, Ted; Meredith, Michael P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-7756; Wang, Zhaomin ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7103-6025; Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402. 2009 Non-annular atmospheric circulation change induced by stratospheric ozone depletion and its role in the recent increase of Antarctic sea ice extent. Geophysical Research Letters, 36 (8), L08502. 5, pp. 10.1029/2009GL037524

Thomas, E.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2009 Improving ice core interpretation using in situ and reanalysis data. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114 (D2), D20116. 8, pp. 10.1029/2009JD012263

Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Seierstad, Ivar A.. 2009 Marine cold-air outbreaks in the North Atlantic: temporal distribution and associations with large-scale atmospheric circulation. Climate Dynamics, 33 (2-3). 187-197. 10.1007/s00382-008-0431-5

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Gray, Suzanne L.. 2009 The dynamics of a polar low assessed using potential vorticity inversion. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (641). 880-893. 10.1002/qj.411

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Connolley, William M.; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122. 2008 Antarctic climate change over the twenty first century. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113 (D3), D03103. 13, pp. 10.1029/2007JD008933

Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2008 Marine cold-air outbreaks in the future: an assessment of IPCC AR4 model results for the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics, 30 (7-8). 871-885. 10.1007/s00382-007-0331-0

Connolley, William M.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2007 An Antarctic assessment of IPCC AR4 coupled models. Geophysical Research Letters, 34 (22), L22505. 6, pp. 10.1029/2007GL031648

Publication - Book Section

Xavier, Jose C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9621-6660; Hill, S.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1441-8769; Belchier, M.; Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Murphy, E.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7369-9196; Dias, J. Lopes. 2015 From ice to penguins: The role of mathematics in Antarctic research. In: Bourguignon, Jean-Pierre; Jeltsch, Rolf; Pinto, Alberto Adrego; Viana, Marcelo, (eds.) Mathematics of Energy and Climate Change: International Conference and Advanced School Planet Earth, Portugal, March 21-28, 2013. Switzerland, Springer, 389-414. (CIM Series in Mathematical Sciences, 2, 2).

Gerland, Sebastian; Aars, Jon; Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Carmack, Eddy; Hop, Haakon; Hovelsrud, Grete K.; Kovacs, Kit; Lydersen, Christian; Perovich, Don K.; Richter-Menge, Jackie; Rybråten, Stine; Strøm, Hallvard; Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122. 2007 Chapter 5 - Ice in the sea. In: Eamer, Joan; Ahlenius, Hugo; Prestrud, Pål, (eds.) Global Outlook for Ice & Snow. Nairobi, Kenya, Division of Early Warning and Assessment (DEWA), United Nations Environment Programme, 63-96, 34pp. (UNEP).

Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Bracegirdle, Tom ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739. 2007 Polar lows and other high latitude weather systems. In: Proceedings of a seminar held at ECMWF on Polar Meteorology, 4-8 September 2006. Reading, ECMWF, 67-74.

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