Items where NERC Author is "Bracegirdle, Thomas"

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Kolstad, E. W.; Bracegirdle, T. J.. 2016 Sensitivity of an Apparently Hurricane-like Polar Low to Sea Surface Temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 10.1002/qj.2980

Boland, Emma J.D.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Shuckburgh, Emily F.. 2016 Assessment of sea ice-atmosphere links in CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics. 10.1007/s00382-016-3367-1

Turner, John; Hosking, J. Scott; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Phillips, Tony; Marshall, Gareth J.. 2016 Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves. International Journal of Climatology. 10.1002/joc.4848

Turner, John; Lu, Hua; White, Ian; King, John C.; Phillips, Tony; Hosking, J. Scott; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Marshall, Gareth J.; Mulvaney, Robert; Deb, Pranab. 2016 Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability. Nature, 535 (7612). 411-415. 10.1038/nature18645

Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Zahn, Matthias. 2016 Re-examining the roles of surface heat flux and latent heat release in a “hurricane-like” polar low over the Barents Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (13). 7853-7867. 10.1002/2015JD024633

Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Barrand, Nicholas E.; Kusahara, Kazuya; Wainer, Ilana. 2016 Predicting Antarctic climate using climate models. Antarctic Environments Portal.

Turner, John; Hosking, J. Scott; Marshall, Gareth J.; Phillips, Tony; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. 2016 Antarctic sea ice increase consistent with intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low. Climate Dynamics, 46 (7). 2391-2402. 10.1007/s00382-015-2708-9

Bracegirdle, T.J.; Bertler, N.A.N.; Carleton, A.M.; Ding, Q.; Fogwill, C.J.; Fyfe, J.C.; Hellmer, H.H.; Karpechko, A.Y.; Kusahara, K.; Larour, E.; Mayewski, P.A.; Meier, W.N.; Polvani, L.M.; Russell, J.L.; Stevenson, S.L.; Turner, J.; van Wessem, J. M.; van de Berg, W.J.; Wainer, I.. 2016 A multi-disciplinary perspective on climate model evaluation for Antarctica. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (2). ES23-ES26. 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00108.1

Hosking, J. Scott; Orr, Andrew; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Turner, John. 2016 Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (1). 367-376. 10.1002/2015GL067143


Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Stephenson, David B.; Turner, John; Phillips, Tony. 2015 The importance of sea ice area biases in 21st century multimodel projections of Antarctic temperature and precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (24). 10832-10839. 10.1002/2015GL067055

Xavier, Jose C.; Hill, S.L.; Belchier, M.; Bracegirdle, T.J.; Murphy, E.J.; Dias, J. Lopes. 2015 From ice to penguins: The role of mathematics in Antarctic research. In: Bourguignon, Jean-Pierre; Jeltsch, Rolf; Pinto, Alberto Adrego; Viana, Marcelo, (eds.) Mathematics of Energy and Climate Change: International Conference and Advanced School Planet Earth, Portugal, March 21-28, 2013. Switzerland, Springer, 389-414. (CIM Series in Mathematical Sciences, 2, 2).

Marshall, Gareth J.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. 2015 An examination of the relationship between the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic surface air temperatures in the CMIP5 historical runs. Climate Dynamics, 45 (5). 1513-1535. 10.1007/s00382-014-2406-z

Mayewski, P. A.; Bracegirdle, T.; Goodwin, I.; Schneider, D.; Bertler, N. A. N.; Birkel, S.; Carleton, A.; England, M. H.; Kang, J.-H.; Khan, A.; Russell, J.; Turner, J.; Velicogna, I.. 2015 Potential for Southern Hemisphere climate surprises. Journal of Quaternary Science, 30 (5). 391-395. 10.1002/jqs.2794

Turner, John; Hosking, J. Scott; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Marshall, Gareth J.; Phillips, Tony. 2015 Recent changes in Antarctic sea ice. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, A, 373 (2045), 20140163. 10.1098/rsta.2014.0163

Thomas, Elizabeth R; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. 2015 Precipitation pathways for five new ice core sites in Ellsworth Land, West Antarctica. Climate Dynamics, 44 (7-8). 2067-2078. 10.1007/s00382-014-2213-6

Gutt, Julian; Bertler, Nancy; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Buschmann, Alexander; Comiso, Josefino; Hosie, Graham; Isla, Enrique; Schloss, Irene R.; Smith, Craig R.; Tournadre, Jean; Xavier, Jose C.. 2015 The Southern Ocean ecosystem under multiple climate change stresses - an integrated circumpolar assessment. Global Change Biology, 21 (4). 1434-1453. 10.1111/gcb.12794

Lu, Hua; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Phillips, Tony; Turner, John. 2015 A comparative study of wave forcing derived from the ERA-40 and ERA-interim reanalysis data sets. Journal of Climate, 28 (6). 2291-2311. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00356.1


Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Turner, John; Hosking, J. Scott; Phillips, Tony. 2014 Sources of uncertainty in projections of 21st century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models. Climate Dynamics, 43 (7-8). 2093-2104. 10.1007/s00382-013-2032-1

Turner, John; Barrand, Nicholas E.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Convey, Peter; Hodgson, Dominic A.; Jarvis, Martin; Jenkins, Adrian; Marshall, Gareth; Meredith, Michael P.; Roscoe, Howard; Shanklin, Jon; French, John; Goosse, Hugues; Guglielmin, Mauro; Gutt, Julian; Jacobs, Stan; Kennicutt, Marlon C.; Masson-Delmotte, Valerie; Mayewski, Paul; Navarro, Francisco; Robinson, Sharon; Scambos, Ted; Sparrow, Mike; Summerhayes, Colin; Speer, Kevin; Klepikov, Alexander. 2014 Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update. Polar Record, 50 (254). 237-259. 10.1017/S0032247413000296

Lu, Hua; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Phillips, Tony; Bushell, Andrew; Gray, Lesley. 2014 Mechanisms for the Holton-Tan relationship and its decadal variation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (6). 2811-2830. 10.1002/2013JD021352


Thomas, Elizabeth R; Bracegirdle, Thomas J; Turner, John; Wolff, Eric W. 2013 A 308-year record of climate variability in West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (20). 5492-5496. 10.1002/2013GL057782

Gutt, Julian; Adams, Byron; Bracegirdle, Thomas; Cowan, Don; Cummings, Vonda; di Prisco, Guido; Gradinger, Rolf; Isla, Enrique; McIntyre, Trevor; Murphy, Eugene; Peck, Lloyd; Schloss, Irene; Smith, Craig; Suckling, Coleen; Takahashi, Akinori; Verde, Cinza; Wall, Diana H.; Xavier, José. 2013 Antarctic Thresholds - Ecosystem Resilience and Adaptation" (AnT-ERA), a new SCAR-biology programme. Polarforschung, 82 (2). 147-150.

Sallee, J.-B.; Shuckburgh, E.; Bruneau, N.; Meijers, A.J.S.; Bracegirdle, T.J.; Wang, Z.. 2013 Assessment of Southern Ocean mixed-layer depth in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118 (4). 1845-1862. 10.1002/jgrc.20157

Sallee, J.-B.; Shuckburgh, E.; Bruneau, N.; Meijers, AJ.S.; Bracegirdle, T.J.; Wang, Z.; Roy, T.. 2013 Assessment of Southern Ocean water mass circulation and characteristics in CMIP5 models: Historical bias and forcing response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118 (4). 1830-1844. 10.1002/jgrc.20135

Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. 2013 Climatology and recent increase of westerly winds over the Amundsen Sea derived from six reanalyses. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (4). 843-851. 10.1002/joc.3473

Turner, John; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Phillips, Tony; Marshall, Gareth J.; Hosking, J. Scott. 2013 An initial assessment of Antarctic Sea ice extent in the CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26 (5). 1473-1484. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00068.1

Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Shuckburgh, Emily; Sallee, Jean-Baptiste; Wang, Zhaomin; Meijers, Andrew J.S.; Bruneau, Nicolas; Phillips, Tony; Wilcox, Laura J.. 2013 Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (2). 547-562. 10.1002/jgrd.50153

Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Stephenson, David B.. 2013 On the robustness of emergent constraints used in multimodel climate change projections of Arctic warming. Journal of Climate, 26 (2). 669-678. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00537.1

Orr, Andrew; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Hosking, J. Scott; Feng, Wuhu; Roscoe, Howard K.; Haigh, Joanna D.. 2013 Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. Journal of Climate, 26 (2). 662-668. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00480.1


Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Stephenson, David B.. 2012 Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections. Climate Dynamics, 39 (12). 2805-2821. 10.1007/s00382-012-1330-3

Orr, Andrew; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Hosking, J. Scott; Jung, Thomas; Haigh, Joanna D.; Phillips, Tony; Feng, Wuhu. 2012 Possible dynamical mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere climate change due to the ozone hole. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (10). 2917-2932. 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0210.1

Gutt, Julian; Zurell, Damaris; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Cheung, William; Clark, Melody S.; Convey, Peter; Danis, Bruno; David, Bruno; De Broyer, Claude; Di Prisco, Guido; Griffiths, Huw; Laffont, Rémi; Peck, Lloyd S.; Pierrat, Benjamin; Riddle, Martin J.; Saucède, Thomas; Turner, John; Verde, Cinzia; Wang, Zhaomin; Grimm, Volker. 2012 Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic: a cross-disciplinary concept. Polar Research, 31. 23, pp. 10.3402/polar.v31i0.11091

Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. 2012 Detection and attribution of Antarctic climate change. Anales del Instituto de la Patagonia, 40 (1). 51-56. 10.4067/S0718-686X2012000100005

Meijers, A.J.S.; Shuckburgh, E.; Bruneau, N.; Sallee, J.-B.; Bracegirdle, T.J.; Wang, Z.. 2012 Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios. Journal of Geophysical Research (Oceans), 117 (C12), C12008. 19, pp. 10.1029/2012JC008412

Føre, Ivan; Kristjánsson, Jón Egill ; Kolstad, Erik W. ; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Saetra, Øyvind; Røsting, Bjørn. 2012 A ‘hurricane-like’ polar low fuelled by sensible heat flux: high-resolution numerical simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (666). 1308-1324. 10.1002/qj.1876

Clarke, Andrew; Barnes, David K. A.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Ducklow, Hugh. W.; King, John C.; Meredith, Michael P.; Murphy, Eugene J.; Peck, Lloyd S.. 2012 The impact of regional climate change on the marine ecosystem of the western Antarctic Peninsula. In: Rogers, Alex D.; Johnston, Nadine M.; Murphy, Eugene J.; Clarke, Andrew, (eds.) Antarctic Ecosystems: An Extreme Environment in a Changing World. Blackwell Publishing, 91-120.

Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Marshall, Gareth J.. 2012 The reliability of Antarctic tropospheric pressure and temperature in the latest global reanalyses. Journal of Climate, 25 (20). 7138-7146. 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00685.1


Justino, F.; Setzer, A.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Mendes, D.; Grimm, A.; Dechiche, G.; Schaefer, C.E.G.R.. 2011 Harmonic analysis of climatological temperature over Antarctica: present day and greenhouse warming perspectives. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (4). 514-530. 10.1002/joc.2090

Linders, T.; Saetra, Ø.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. 2011 Limited polar low sensitivity to sea-surface temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (654 Part A). 58-69. 10.1002/qj.718

Bracegirdle, Thomas. 2011 The seasonal cycle of stratosphere-troposphere coupling at southern high latitudes associated with the semi-annual oscillation in sea-level pressure. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). 2323-2333. 10.1007/s00382-011-1014-4


Bracegirdle, Thomas; Kolstad, Erik W.. 2010 Climatology and variability of Southern Hemisphere marine cold-air outbreaks. Tellus. Series A, 62 A (2). 202-208. 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00431.x

Abram, Nerilie J.; Thomas, Elizabeth R.; McConnell, Joseph R.; Mulvaney, Robert; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Sime, Louise C.; Aristarain, Alberto J.. 2010 Ice core evidence for a 20th century decline in sea ice in the Bellingshausen Sea, Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D23), D23101. 9, pp. 10.1029/2010JD014644


Thomas, Liz R.; Dennis, P. F.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Franzke, Christian. 2009 Ice core evidence for significant 100-year regional warming on the Antarctic Peninsula. Geophysical Research Letters, 36 (20), L20704. 5, pp. 10.1029/2009GL040104

Thomas, E.R.; Bracegirdle, T.J.. 2009 Improving ice core interpretation using in situ and reanalysis data. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114 (D2), D20116. 8, pp. 10.1029/2009JD012263

Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Seierstad, Ivar A.. 2009 Marine cold-air outbreaks in the North Atlantic: temporal distribution and associations with large-scale atmospheric circulation. Climate Dynamics, 33 (2-3). 187-197. 10.1007/s00382-008-0431-5

Turner, John; Comiso, Josefino C.; Marshall, Gareth J.; Lachlan-Cope, Tom A.; Bracegirdle, Toms; Maksym, Ted; Meredith, Michael P.; Wang, Zhaomin; Orr, Andrew. 2009 Non-annular atmospheric circulation change induced by stratospheric ozone depletion and its role in the recent increase of Antarctic sea ice extent. Geophysical Research Letters, 36 (8), L08502. 5, pp. 10.1029/2009GL037524

Turner, John; Anderson, Philip; Lachlan-Cope, Thomas; Colwell, Steven; Phillips, Tony; Kirchgaessner, Amelie; Marshall, Gareth; King, John; Bracegirdle, Thomas; Vaughan, David; Lagun, V; Orr, Andrew. 2009 Record low surface air temperature at Vostok Station, Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 114 (D24). 14, pp. 10.1029/2009JD012104

Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Gray, Suzanne L.. 2009 The dynamics of a polar low assessed using potential vorticity inversion. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (641). 880-893. 10.1002/qj.411


Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Connolley, William M.; Turner, John. 2008 Antarctic climate change over the twenty first century. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113 (D3), D03103. 13, pp. 10.1029/2007JD008933

Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. 2008 Marine cold-air outbreaks in the future: an assessment of IPCC AR4 model results for the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics, 30 (7-8). 871-885. 10.1007/s00382-007-0331-0


Connolley, William M.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. 2007 An Antarctic assessment of IPCC AR4 coupled models. Geophysical Research Letters, 34 (22), L22505. 6, pp. 10.1029/2007GL031648

Turner, John; Bracegirdle, Tom. 2007 Polar lows and other high latitude weather systems. In: Proceedings of a seminar held at ECMWF on Polar Meteorology, 4-8 September 2006. Reading, ECMWF, 67-74.

This list was generated on Fri Jan 20 01:39:08 2017 GMT.