Items where NERC Author is "Bracegirdle, Thomas"
Publication - Article
Holmes, Caroline R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Holland, Paul R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; Stroeve, Julienne; Wilkinson, Jeremy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7166-3042.
2024
Brief communication: New perspectives on the skill of modelled sea ice trends in light of recent Antarctic sea ice loss.
The Cryosphere, 18 (12).
5641-5652.
10.5194/tc-18-5641-2024
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Caton Harrison, Thomas
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-7039; Holmes, Caroline R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Lu, Hua
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Martineau, Patrick; Phillips, Tony
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157.
2024
Antarctic extreme seasons under 20th and 21st century climate change.
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 276.
12, pp.
10.1038/s41612-024-00822-y
Caton Harrison, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-7039; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Davrinche, Cécile; Dutrieux, Pierre
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8066-934X; Gilbert, Ella
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5272-8894; Haigh, Michael
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9062-7613; Jones, Julie M.; Kent, Elizabeth C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6209-4247; King, John
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Lu, Hua
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Price, Ruth
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1981-9860; Schmidt, Christina; Vignon, Étienne; Wiener, Valentin.
2024
Advances and next steps in observing and modeling Antarctica’s coastal winds.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (11).
7, pp.
10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0247.1
Jones, Colin G.; Adloff, Fanny; Booth, Ben B. B.; Cox, Peter M.; Eyring, Veronika; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Frieler, Katja; Hewitt, Helene T.; Jeffery, Hazel A.; Joussaume, Sylvie; Koenigk, Torben; Lawrence, Bryan N.; O'Rourke, Eleanor; Roberts, Malcolm J.; Sanderson, Benjamin M.; Séférian, Roland; Somot, Samuel; Vidale, Pier Luigi; van Vuuren, Detlef; Acosta, Mario; Bentsen, Mats; Bernardello, Raffaele; Betts, Richard; Blockley, Ed; Boé, Julien; Bracegirdle, Tom ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Braconnot, Pascale; Brovkin, Victor; Buontempo, Carlo; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Donat, Markus; Epicoco, Italo; Falloon, Pete; Fiore, Sandro; Frölicher, Thomas; Fučkar, Neven S.; Gidden, Matthew J.; Goessling, Helge F.; Graversen, Rune Grand; Gualdi, Silvio; Gutiérrez, José M.; Ilyina, Tatiana; Jacob, Daniela; Jones, Chris D.; Juckes, Martin; Kendon, Elizabeth; Kjellström, Erik; Knutti, Reto; Lowe, Jason; Mizielinski, Matthew; Nassisi, Paola; Obersteiner, Michael; Regnier, Pierre; Roehrig, Romain; Salas y Mélia, David; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Schulz, Michael; Scoccimarro, Enrico; Terray, Laurent; Thiemann, Hannes; Wood, Richard A.; Yang, Shuting; Zaehle, Sönke.
2024
Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy.
Earth System Dynamics, 15 (5).
1319-1351.
10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
Collins, Matthew; Beverley, Jonathan D.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Catto, Jennifer; McCrystall, Michelle; Dittus, Andrea; Freychet, Nicolas; Grist, Jeremy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1068-9211; Hegerl, Gabriele C.; Holland, Paul R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; Holmes, Caroline
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Josey, Simon A.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831; Joshi, Manoj; Hawkins, Ed; Lo, Eunice; Lord, Natalie; Mitchell, Dann; Monerie, Paul-Arthur; Priestley, Matthew D. K.; Scaife, Adam; Screen, James; Senior, Natasha; Sexton, David; Shuckburgh, Emily; Siegert, Stefan; Simpson, Charles; Stephenson, David B.; Sutton, Rowan; Thompson, Vikki; Wilcox, Laura J.; Woollings, Tim.
2024
Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world.
Frontiers in Science, 2, 1340323.
20, pp.
10.3389/fsci.2024.1340323
Caton Harrison, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-7039; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Lu, Hua
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082.
2024
Dynamics of extreme wind events in the marine and
terrestrial sectors of coastal Antarctica.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150 (762).
2646-2666.
10.1002/qj.4727
Hansen, Nicolaj; Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Zou, Xun; Boberg, Fredrik; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Gilbert, Ella
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5272-8894; Langen, Peter L.; Lazzara, Matthew A.; Mottram, Ruth; Phillips, Tony
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Price, Ruth
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1981-9860; Simonsen, Sebastian B.; Webster, Stuart.
2024
The importance of cloud properties when assessing surface melting in an offline-coupled firn model over Ross Ice shelf, West Antarctica.
The Cryosphere, 18 (6).
2897-2916.
10.5194/tc-18-2897-2024
Gao, Qinggang ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5561-1720; Sime, Louise C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9093-7926; McLaren, Alison J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-2195-1758; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Capron, Emilie; Rhodes, Rachael H.; Steen-Larsen, Hans Christian; Shi, Xiaoxu; Werner, Martin.
2024
Evaporative controls on Antarctic precipitation: an ECHAM6 model study using innovative water tracer diagnostics.
The Cryosphere, 18 (2).
683-703.
10.5194/tc-18-683-2024
Wille, Jonathan D.; Alexander, Simon P.; Amory, Charles; Baiman, Rebecca; Barthélemy, Léonard; Bergstrom, Dana M.; Berne, Alexis; Binder, Hanin; Blanchet, Juliette; Bozkurt, Deniz; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Casado, Mathieu; Choi, Taejin; Clem, Kyle R.; Codron, Francis; Datta, Rajashree; Di Battista, Stefano; Favier, Vincent; Francis, Diana; Fraser, Alexander D.; Fourré, Elise; Garreaud, René D.; Genthon, Christophe; Gorodetskaya, Irina V.; González-Herrero, Sergi; Heinrich, Victoria J.; Hubert, Guillaume; Joos, Hanna; Kim, Seong-Joong; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Kittel, Christoph; Landais, Amaelle; Lazzara, Matthew; Leonard, Gregory H.; Lieser, Jan L.; Maclennan, Michelle; Mikolajczyk, David; Neff, Peter; Ollivier, Inès; Sprenger, Michael; Trusel, Luke; Udy, Danielle; Vance, Tessa; Vignon, Étienne; Walker, Catherine; Weaver, Nander; Zou, Xun.
2024
The Extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica "Heat" Wave. Part I: Observations and Meteorological Drivers.
Journal of Climate, 37 (3).
757-778.
10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0175.1
Wille, Jonathan D.; Alexander, Simon P.; Amory, Charles; Baiman, Rebecca; Barthélemy, Léonard; Bergstrom, Dana M.; Berne, Alexis; Binder, Hanin; Blanchet, Juliette; Bozkurt, Deniz; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Casado, Mathieu; Choi, Taejin; Clem, Kyle R.; Codron, Francis; Datta, Rajashree; Di Battista, Stefano; Favier, Vincent; Francis, Diana; Fraser, Alexander D.; Fourré, Elise; Garreaud, René D.; Genthon, Christophe; Gorodetskaya, Irina V.; González-Herrero, Sergi; Heinrich, Victoria J.; Hubert, Guillaume; Joos, Hanna; Kim, Seong-Joong; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Kittel, Christoph; Landais, Amaelle; Lazzara, Matthew; Leonard, Gregory H.; Lieser, Jan L.; Maclennan, Michelle; Mikolajczyk, David; Neff, Peter; Ollivier, Inès; Sprenger, Michael; Trusel, Luke; Udy, Danielle; Vance, Tessa; Vignon, Étienne; Walker, Catherine; Wever, Nander; Zou, Xun.
2024
The Extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica "Heat" Wave. Part II: Impacts on the Antarctic Ice Sheet.
Journal of Climate, 37 (3).
779-799.
10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0176.1
Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Orr, Andrew
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Phillips, Tony
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Gilbert, Ella
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5272-8894; Colwell, Steve R.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2023
Extreme warm events in the South Orkney Islands, Southern Ocean: Compounding influence of atmospheric rivers and föhn conditions.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (757).
3645-3668.
10.1002/qj.4578
Siegert, Martin; Bentley, Mike J.; Atkinson, Angus; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Convey, Peter
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903; Davies, Bethan; Downie, Rod; Hogg, Anna E.; Holmes, Caroline
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Hughes, Kevin A.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2701-726X; Meredith, Michael P.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-7756; Ross, Neil; Rumble, Jane; Wilkinson, Jeremy
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7166-3042.
2023
Antarctic extreme events.
Frontiers in Environmental Science, 11, 1229283.
15, pp.
10.3389/fenvs.2023.1229283
Marcheggiani, Andrea; Robson, Jon; Monerie, Paul-Arthur; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Smith, Doug.
2023
Decadal Predictability of the North Atlantic Eddy-Driven Jet in Winter.
Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8), e2022GL102071.
9, pp.
10.1029/2022GL102071
Holland, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; O'Connor, Gemma K.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Dutrieux, Pierre
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8066-934X; Naughten, Kaitlin A.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9475-9162; Steig, Eric J.; Schneider, David P.; Jenkins, Adrian; Smith, James A.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1333-2544.
2022
Anthropogenic and internal drivers of wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, during the 20th and 21st centuries.
The Cryosphere, 16 (12).
5085-5105.
10.5194/tc-16-5085-2022
Caton Harrison, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7870-7039; Biri, Stavroula
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5402-1072; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Kent, Elizabeth C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6209-4247; Vignon, Étienne; Turner, John
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122.
2022
Reanalysis representation of low-level winds in the Antarctic near-coastal region.
Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (4).
1415-1437.
10.5194/wcd-3-1415-2022
Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2022
Early‐to-late winter 20th century North Atlantic multidecadal atmospheric variability in observations, CMIP5 and CMIP6.
Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (11), e2022GL098212.
9, pp.
10.1029/2022GL098212
Ayres, Holly C.; Screen, James A.; Blockley, Edward W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2022
The coupled atmosphere-ocean response to Antarctic sea-ice loss.
Journal of Climate, 35 (14).
4665-4685.
10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0918.1
Holmes, C.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Bracegirdle, T.J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Holland, P.R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X.
2022
Antarctic sea ice projections constrained by historical ice cover and future global temperature change.
Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (10), e2021GL097413.
10, pp.
10.1029/2021GL097413
Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Lu, Hua
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Robson, Jon.
2021
Early-winter North Atlantic low-level jet latitude biases in climate models: Implications for simulated regional atmosphere-ocean linkages.
Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1), 014025.
14, pp.
10.1088/1748-9326/ac417f
Patterson, Matthew; Woollings, Tim; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2021
Tropical and subtropical forcing of future Southern Hemisphere stationary wave changes.
Journal of Climate, 34 (19).
7897-7912.
10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0075.1
Lu, Hua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Gray, Lesley J.; Martineau, Patrick; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2021
Regime behavior in the upper stratosphere as a precursor of stratosphere-troposphere coupling in the northern winter.
Journal of Climate, 34 (18).
7677-7696.
10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0831.1
Payne, Antony J.; Nowicki, Sophie; Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay‐Davis, Xylar; Aschwanden, Andy; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Calov, Reinhard; Chambers, Christopher; Choi, Youngmin; Cullather, Richard; Cuzzone, Joshua; Dumas, Christophe; Edwards, Tamsin L.; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Goelzer, Heiko; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Le clec'h, Sebastien; Lee, Victoria; Leguy, Gunter; Lipscomb, William H.; Little, Christopher M.; Lowry, Daniel P.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Rückamp, Martin; Schlegel, Nicole‐Jeanne; Seroussi, Hélène; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Tarasov, Lev; Trusel, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; van de Wal, Roderik; van den Broeke, Michiel; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas.
2021
Future sea level change under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 and 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets.
Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (16), e2020GL091741.
8, pp.
10.1029/2020GL091741
Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Lu, Hua
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9485-5082; Martineau, Patrick; Gerber, Edwin P.; Marshall, Gareth J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2021
Is our dynamical understanding of the circulation changes associated with the Antarctic ozone hole sensitive to the choice of reanalysis dataset?
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (10).
7451-7472.
10.5194/acp-21-7451-2021
Sansom, Philip G.; Stephenson, David B.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2021
On constraining projections of future climate using observations and simulations from multiple climate models.
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116 (534).
546-557.
10.1080/01621459.2020.1851696
Patterson, Matthew; Woollings, Tim; Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Lewis, Neil T..
2020
Wintertime Southern Hemisphere jet streams shaped by interaction of transient eddies with Antarctic orography.
Journal of Climate, 33 (24).
10505-10522.
10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0153.1
Robson, Jon; Aksenov, Yevgeny ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6132-3434; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Dimdore-Miles, Oscar; Griffiths, Paul T.; Grosvenor, Daniel P.; Hodson, Daniel L.R.; Keeble, James; Megann, Alex
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0975-6317; Osprey, Scott; Povey, Adam C.; Schröder, David; Yang, Mingxi; Archibald, Alexander T.; Carslaw, Ken S.; Gray, Lesley; Jones, Colin; Kerridge, Brian; Knappett, Diane; Kuhlbrodt, Till; Russo, Maria; Sellar, Alistair; Siddans, Richard; Sinha, Bablu; Sutton, Rowan; Walton, Jeremy; Wilcox, Laura J..
2020
The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6.
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9), e2020MS002126.
10.1029/2020MS002126
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Krinner, Gerhard; Tonelli, Marcos; Haumann, F. Alexander; Naughten, Kaitlin A.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9475-9162; Rackow, Thomas; Roach, Lettie A.; Wainer, Ilana.
2020
Twenty first century changes in Antarctic and Southern Ocean surface climate in CMIP6.
Atmospheric Science Letters, 21 (9), e984.
10.1002/asl.984
Nowicki, Sophie; Goelzer, Heiko; Seroussi, Hélène; Payne, Anthony J.; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Asay-Davis, Xylar S.; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Cullather, Richard; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Hattermann, Tore; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kuipers Munneke, Peter; Larour, Eric; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Trusel, Luke D.; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; van de Wal, Roderik.
2020
Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models.
The Cryosphere, 14 (7).
2331-2368.
10.5194/tc-14-2331-2020
Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Holmes, C.R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-555X; Hosking, J.S.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Marshall, G.J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Osman, M.; Patterson, M.; Rackow, T..
2020
Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5.
Earth and Space Science, 7 (6), e2019EA001065.
12, pp.
10.1029/2019EA001065
Barthel, Alice; Agosta, Cécile; Little, Christopher M.; Hattermann, Tore; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Goelzer, Heiko; Nowicki, Sophie; Seroussi, Helene; Straneo, Fiammetta; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2020
CMIP5 model selection for ISMIP6 ice sheet model forcing: Greenland and Antarctica.
The Cryosphere, 14 (3).
855-879.
10.5194/tc-14-855-2020
Allen, Claire ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0938-0551; Thomas, Elizabeth R.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Blagbrough, Hilary
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6904-777X; Tetzner, Dieter
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7659-8799; Warren, Richard A.; Ludlow, Emily C.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2020
Preliminary evidence for the role played by south westerly wind strength on the marine diatom content of an Antarctic Peninsula ice core (1980–2010).
Geosciences, 10 (3), 87.
10.3390/geosciences10030087
Pope, James O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8945-4209; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Renfrew, Ian A.; Elvidge, Andrew D..
2020
The impact of wintertime sea ice anomalies on high surface heat flux events in the Iceland and Greenland Seas.
Climate Dynamics, 54.
1937-1952.
10.1007/s00382-019-05095-3
Patterson, Matthew; Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Woolings, Tim.
2019
Southern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking in CMIP5 and future changes in the Australia‐New Zealand sector.
Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (15).
9281-9290.
10.1029/2019GL083264
Holland, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8370-289X; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Dutrieux, Pierre; Jenkins, Adrian
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9117-0616; Steig, Eric J..
2019
West Antarctic ice loss influenced by internal climate variability and anthropogenic forcing.
Nature Geoscience, 12.
718-724.
10.1038/s41561-019-0420-9
Renfrew, I. A.; Pickart, R. S.; Våge, K.; Moore, G. W. K.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Elvidge, A. D.; Jeansson, E.; Lachlan-Cope, Thomas
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0657-3235; McRaven, L.T.; Papritz, L.; Reuder, J.; Sodemann, H.; Terpstra, A.; Waterman, S.; Valdimarsson, H.; Weiss, Alexandra; Almansi, M.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6849-3647; Bahr, F.; Brakstad, A.; Barrell, C.; Brooke, J. K.; Brooks, B.J.; Brooks, I. M.; Brooks, M. E.; Bruvik, E. M.; Duscha, C.; Fer, I.; Golid, H. M.; Hallerstig, M.; Hessevik, I.; Huang, J.; Houghton, L.; Jónsson, S.; Jonassen, M.; Jackson, K.; Kvalsund, K.; Kolstad, E. W.; Konstali, K.; Kristiansen, J.; Ladkin, Russell; Lin, P.; Macrander, A.; Mitchell, A.; Olafsson, H.; Pacini, A.; Payne, C.; Palmason, B.; Pérez-Hernández, M. D.; Peterson, A. K.; Petersen, G. N.; Pisareva, M. N.; Pope, James O.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8945-4209; Seidl, A.; Semper, S.; Sergeev, D.; Skjelsvik, S.; Søiland, H.; Smith, D.; Spall, M. A.; Spengler, T.; Touzeau, A.; Tupper, G.; Weng, Y.; Williams, K. D.; Yang, X.; Zhou, S..
2019
The Iceland Greenland Seas Project.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9).
1795-1817.
10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0217.1
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Colleoni, Florence; Abram, Nerilie J.; Bertler, Nancy A.N.; Dixon, Daniel A.; England, Mark; Favier, Vincent; Fogwill, Chris J.; Fyfe, John C.; Goodwin, Ian; Goose, Hugues; Hobbs, Will; Jones, Julie M.; Keller, Elizabeth D.; Khan, Alia L.; Phipps, Steven J.; Raphael, Marilyn N.; Russell, Joellen; Sime, Louise
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Back to the Future: Using long-term observational and paleo-proxy reconstructions to improve model projections of Antarctic climate.
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Compensating biases and a noteworthy success in the CMIP5 representation of Antarctic sea ice processes.
Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (8).
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2018
Polar climate change as manifest in atmospheric circulation.
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Critical Southern Ocean climate model biases traced to atmospheric model cloud errors.
Nature Communications, 9, 3625.
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Do CMIP5 models reproduce observed low-frequency North Atlantic jet variability?
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Low genetic variation between South American and Antarctic populations of the bank-forming moss Chorisodontium aciphyllum (Dicranaceae).
Polar Biology, 41 (4).
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Li, Camille; Michel, Clio; Graff, Lise Seland; Bethke, Ingo; Zappa, Giuseppe; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Fischer, Erich; Harvey, Ben J.; Trond, Iversen; King, Martin P.; Krishnan, Harinarayan; Lierhammer, Ludwig; Mitchell, Daniel; Scinocca, John; Shiogama, Hideo; Stone, Dáithí A.; Wettstein, Justin J..
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Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming and implications for regional impacts.
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Cross-disciplinarity in the advance of Antarctic ecosystem research.
Marine Genomics, 37.
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Arctic Sea Ice Loss in Different Regions Leads to Contrasting Northern Hemisphere Impacts.
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CMIP5 diversity in southern westerly jet projections related to historical sea ice area; strong link to strengthening and weak link to shift.
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A synergistic approach for evaluating climate model output for ecological applications.
Frontiers in Marine Science, 4, 508.
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More losers than winners in a century of future Southern Ocean seafloor warming.
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Stratospheric response to the 11-year solar cycle: Breaking planetary waves, internal reflection and resonance.
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Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016.
Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (13).
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2017
Climate change drives expansion of Antarctic ice-free habitat.
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Assessment of sea ice-atmosphere links in CMIP5 models.
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Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves.
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Atmosphere-ocean-ice interactions in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica.
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Sensitivity of an apparently hurricane-like polar low to sea surface temperature.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (703).
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Sea ice led to poleward-shifted winds at the Last Glacial Maximum: the influence of state dependency on CMIP5 and PMIP3 models.
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Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability.
Nature, 535 (7612).
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Re-examining the roles of surface heat flux and latent heat release in a “hurricane-like” polar low over the Barents Sea.
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2016
Predicting Antarctic climate using climate models.
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Antarctic sea ice increase consistent with intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low.
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2016
A multi-disciplinary perspective on climate model evaluation for Antarctica.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (2).
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Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing.
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The importance of sea ice area biases in 21st century multimodel projections of Antarctic temperature and precipitation.
Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (24).
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An examination of the relationship between the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic surface air temperatures in the CMIP5 historical runs.
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Potential for Southern Hemisphere climate surprises.
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Recent changes in Antarctic sea ice.
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Precipitation pathways for five new ice core sites in Ellsworth Land, West Antarctica.
Climate Dynamics, 44 (7-8).
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The Southern Ocean ecosystem under multiple climate change stresses - an integrated circumpolar assessment.
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A comparative study of wave forcing derived from the ERA-40 and ERA-interim reanalysis data sets.
Journal of Climate, 28 (6).
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Sources of uncertainty in projections of 21st century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models.
Climate Dynamics, 43 (7-8).
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2014
Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update.
Polar Record, 50 (254).
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Mechanisms for the Holton-Tan relationship and its decadal variation.
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A 308-year record of climate variability in West Antarctica.
Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (20).
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Assessment of Southern Ocean mixed-layer depth in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response.
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Assessment of Southern Ocean water mass circulation and characteristics in CMIP5 models: Historical bias and forcing response.
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Climatology and recent increase of westerly winds over the Amundsen Sea derived from six reanalyses.
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An initial assessment of Antarctic Sea ice extent in the CMIP5 models.
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Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence.
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On the robustness of emergent constraints used in multimodel climate change projections of Arctic warming.
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Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole.
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ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7369-9196; Peck, Lloyd
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3479-6791; Schloss, Irene; Smith, Craig; Suckling, Coleen
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8572-0909; Takahashi, Akinori; Verde, Cinza; Wall, Diana H.; Xavier, José
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9621-6660.
2013
Antarctic Thresholds - Ecosystem Resilience and Adaptation" (AnT-ERA), a new SCAR-biology programme.
Polarforschung, 82 (2).
147-150.
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Stephenson, David B..
2012
Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections.
Climate Dynamics, 39 (12).
2805-2821.
10.1007/s00382-012-1330-3
Meijers, A.J.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3876-7736; Shuckburgh, E.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3444; Bruneau, N.; Sallee, J.-B.; Bracegirdle, T.J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Wang, Z..
2012
Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios.
Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (C12), C12008.
19, pp.
10.1029/2012JC008412
Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Hosking, J. Scott
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3646-3504; Jung, Thomas; Haigh, Joanna D.; Phillips, Tony
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Feng, Wuhu.
2012
Possible dynamical mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere climate change due to the ozone hole.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (10).
2917-2932.
10.1175/JAS-D-11-0210.1
Gutt, Julian; Zurell, Damaris; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Cheung, William; Clark, Melody S.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3442-3824; Convey, Peter
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903; Danis, Bruno; David, Bruno; De Broyer, Claude; Di Prisco, Guido; Griffiths, Huw
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1764-223X; Laffont, Rémi; Peck, Lloyd S.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3479-6791; Pierrat, Benjamin; Riddle, Martin J.; Saucède, Thomas; Turner, John
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Verde, Cinzia; Wang, Zhaomin
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7103-6025; Grimm, Volker.
2012
Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic: a cross-disciplinary concept.
Polar Research, 31.
23, pp.
10.3402/polar.v31i0.11091
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2012
Detection and attribution of Antarctic climate change.
Anales del Instituto de la Patagonia, 40 (1).
51-56.
10.4067/S0718-686X2012000100005
Føre, Ivan; Kristjánsson, Jón Egill; Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Saetra, Øyvind; Røsting, Bjørn.
2012
A ‘hurricane-like’ polar low fuelled by sensible heat flux:
high-resolution numerical simulations.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (666).
1308-1324.
10.1002/qj.1876
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Marshall, Gareth J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314.
2012
The reliability of Antarctic tropospheric pressure and temperature in the latest global reanalyses.
Journal of Climate, 25 (20).
7138-7146.
10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00685.1
Justino, F.; Setzer, A.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Mendes, D.; Grimm, A.; Dechiche, G.; Schaefer, C.E.G.R..
2011
Harmonic analysis of climatological temperature over Antarctica: present day and greenhouse warming perspectives.
International Journal of Climatology, 31 (4).
514-530.
10.1002/joc.2090
Linders, T.; Saetra, Ø.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2011
Limited polar low sensitivity to sea-surface temperature.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (654 Part A).
58-69.
10.1002/qj.718
Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2011
The seasonal cycle of stratosphere-troposphere coupling at southern high latitudes associated with the semi-annual oscillation in sea-level pressure.
Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12).
2323-2333.
10.1007/s00382-011-1014-4
Abram, Nerilie J.; Thomas, Elizabeth R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; McConnell, Joseph R.; Mulvaney, Robert
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5372-8148; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Sime, Louise C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9093-7926; Aristarain, Alberto J..
2010
Ice core evidence for a 20th century decline in sea ice in the Bellingshausen Sea, Antarctica.
Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D23), D23101.
9, pp.
10.1029/2010JD014644
Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Kolstad, Erik W..
2010
Climatology and variability of Southern Hemisphere marine cold-air outbreaks.
Tellus. Series A, 62 A (2).
202-208.
10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00431.x
Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Anderson, Philip; Lachlan-Cope, Thomas
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0657-3235; Colwell, Steve; Phillips, Tony
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3058-9157; Kirchgaessner, Amélie
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7483-3652; Marshall, Gareth J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Bracegirdle, Tom
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Vaughan, David G.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9065-0570; Lagun, Victor; Orr, Andrew
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402.
2009
Record low surface air temperature at Vostok Station, Antarctica.
Journal of Geophysical Research, 114 (D24), D24102.
14, pp.
10.1029/2009JD012104
Thomas, E.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Dennis, P. F.; Bracegirdle, T.J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Franzke, C..
2009
Ice core evidence for significant 100-year regional warming on the Antarctic Peninsula.
Geophysical Research Letters, 36 (20), L20704.
5, pp.
10.1029/2009GL040104
Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Comiso, Josefino C.; Marshall, Gareth J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Lachlan-Cope, Tom A.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0657-3235; Bracegirdle, Tom
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Maksym, Ted; Meredith, Michael P.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-7756; Wang, Zhaomin
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7103-6025; Orr, Andrew
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402.
2009
Non-annular atmospheric circulation change induced by stratospheric ozone depletion and its role in the recent increase of Antarctic sea ice extent.
Geophysical Research Letters, 36 (8), L08502.
5, pp.
10.1029/2009GL037524
Thomas, E.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3010-6493; Bracegirdle, T.J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2009
Improving ice core interpretation using in situ and reanalysis data.
Journal of Geophysical Research, 114 (D2), D20116.
8, pp.
10.1029/2009JD012263
Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Seierstad, Ivar A..
2009
Marine cold-air outbreaks in the North Atlantic: temporal distribution and associations with large-scale atmospheric circulation.
Climate Dynamics, 33 (2-3).
187-197.
10.1007/s00382-008-0431-5
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Gray, Suzanne L..
2009
The dynamics of a polar low assessed using potential vorticity inversion.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (641).
880-893.
10.1002/qj.411
Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Connolley, William M.; Turner, John
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122.
2008
Antarctic climate change over the twenty first century.
Journal of Geophysical Research, 113 (D3), D03103.
13, pp.
10.1029/2007JD008933
Kolstad, Erik W.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2008
Marine cold-air outbreaks in the future: an assessment of IPCC AR4 model results for the Northern Hemisphere.
Climate Dynamics, 30 (7-8).
871-885.
10.1007/s00382-007-0331-0
Connolley, William M.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2007
An Antarctic assessment of IPCC AR4 coupled models.
Geophysical Research Letters, 34 (22), L22505.
6, pp.
10.1029/2007GL031648
Publication - Book Section
Xavier, Jose C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9621-6660; Hill, S.L.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1441-8769; Belchier, M.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2269-8185; Bracegirdle, T.J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Murphy, E.J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7369-9196; Dias, J. Lopes.
2015
From ice to penguins: The role of mathematics in Antarctic research.
In: Bourguignon, Jean-Pierre; Jeltsch, Rolf; Pinto, Alberto Adrego; Viana, Marcelo, (eds.)
Mathematics of Energy and Climate Change: International Conference and Advanced School Planet Earth, Portugal, March 21-28, 2013.
Switzerland, Springer, 389-414.
(CIM Series in Mathematical Sciences, 2, 2).
Clarke, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7582-3074; Barnes, David K. A.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9076-7867; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Ducklow, Hugh. W.; King, John C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3315-7568; Meredith, Michael P.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-7756; Murphy, Eugene J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7369-9196; Peck, Lloyd S.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3479-6791.
2012
The impact of regional climate change on the marine ecosystem of the western Antarctic Peninsula.
In: Rogers, Alex D.; Johnston, Nadine M.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2211-1492; Murphy, Eugene J.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7369-9196; Clarke, Andrew
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7582-3074, (eds.)
Antarctic Ecosystems: An Extreme Environment in a Changing World.
Blackwell Publishing, 91-120.
Gerland, Sebastian; Aars, Jon; Bracegirdle, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739; Carmack, Eddy; Hop, Haakon; Hovelsrud, Grete K.; Kovacs, Kit; Lydersen, Christian; Perovich, Don K.; Richter-Menge, Jackie; Rybråten, Stine; Strøm, Hallvard; Turner, John
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122.
2007
Chapter 5 - Ice in the sea.
In: Eamer, Joan; Ahlenius, Hugo; Prestrud, Pål, (eds.)
Global Outlook for Ice & Snow.
Nairobi, Kenya, Division of Early Warning and Assessment (DEWA), United Nations Environment Programme, 63-96, 34pp.
(UNEP).
Turner, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-5122; Bracegirdle, Tom
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739.
2007
Polar lows and other high latitude weather systems.
In:
Proceedings of a seminar held at ECMWF on Polar Meteorology, 4-8 September 2006.
Reading, ECMWF, 67-74.