Koldobskiy, Sergey; Mekhaldi, Florian
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8323-2955; Kovaltsov, Gennady; Usoskin, Ilya.
2024
Reconstruction of the fluence of extreme solar particle events registered in cosmogenic proxies.
Proceedings of Science, 444, 1324.
8, pp.
10.22323/1.444.1324
Abstract
Extreme solar particle events (ESPEs) are infrequent yet highly potent manifestations of solar activity. These events result in the production of significant amounts of cosmogenic isotopes(CIs): 10Be, 36Cl, and 14C, which are subsequently deposited in natural stratified archives. Analyzing CI measurements from these archives allows us to assess the particle fluxes during ESPEs. In this study, we introduce a novel approach to reconstruct ESPE fluence (integral flux) by using recent modelling advancements. This method enables the integration of diverse CI data within a single comprehensive model. Within the new approach, ESPE fluence is represented as an ensemble of scaled fluence reconstructions for ground-level enhancement (GLE) events, detected by the neutron monitor network since 1956 and coupled with satellite and ionospheric measurements. The reconstructed ESPE fluences exhibit a softer spectral shape compared to previous estimates, leading to significantly higher estimates of the low-energy (E <100 MeV) fluence. Consequently, ESPEs pose an even greater risk to modern technological systems than previously believed. To facilitate broader applications, the reconstructed ESPE fluences are fitted using a modified Band function which simplifies the utilization of the obtained results in various practical contexts.
Documents
538597:252639
Open Access
ICRC2023_1324.pdf - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.
ICRC2023_1324.pdf - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.
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Programmes:
BAS Programmes 2015 > Ice Dynamics and Palaeoclimate
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