Reservoir status & outlooks: methods & application

This report builds upon previous work by Rickards et al. (2022) to explore the potential of reservoir status metrics for the reporting of water storage status and outlooks, along with the use of forecasting methods to predict future changes in water body storage. A review of the current state of the science in these areas is undertaken, followed by the application of various storage metrics to identify their relative strengths in respect to the communication of reservoir storage status. The use of data-driven models for the prediction and forecasting of reservoir storage is then explored at a range of lead times for selected reservoirs over the UK.