Analysis of UK and European NOx and VOC emission scenarios in the Defra model intercomparison exercise

Derwent, Richard; Beevers, Sean; Chemel, Charles; Cooke, Sally; Francis, Xavier; Fraser, Andrea; Heal, Mathew R.; Kitwiroon, Nutthida; Lingard, Justin; Redington, Alison; Sokhi, Ranjeet; Vieno, Massimo ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7741-9377. 2014 Analysis of UK and European NOx and VOC emission scenarios in the Defra model intercomparison exercise. Atmospheric Environment, 94. 249-257. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.05.036

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.05.036

Abstract/Summary

Simple emission scenarios have been implemented in eight United Kingdom air quality models with the aim of assessing how these models compared when addressing whether photochemical ozone formation in southern England was NOx- or VOC-sensitive and whether ozone precursor sources in the UK or in the Rest of Europe (RoE) were the most important during July 2006. The suite of models included three Eulerian-grid models (three implementations of one of these models), a Lagrangian atmospheric dispersion model and two moving box air parcel models. The assignments as to NOx- or VOC-sensitive and to UK- versus RoE-dominant, turned out to be highly variable and often contradictory between the individual models. However, when the assignments were filtered by model performance on each day, many of the contradictions could be eliminated. Nevertheless, no one model was found to be the 'best' model on all days, indicating that no single air quality model could currently be relied upon to inform policymakers robustly in terms of NOx- versus VOC-sensitivity and UK- versus RoE-dominance on each day. It is important to maintain a diversity in model approaches.

Item Type:	Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):	10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.05.036
Programmes:	CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 - 2012 > Biogeochemistry
UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:	Dise
ISSN:	1352-2310
Additional Keywords:	air quality modelling, model intercomparison, episodic peak ozone levels, emission sensitivities, NOx and VOC emissions
NORA Subject Terms:	Atmospheric Sciences
Date made live:	02 Jun 2014 11:47 +0 (UTC)
URI:	https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/507331

Item Type:

Publication - Article

Digital Object Identifier (DOI):

10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.05.036

Programmes:

CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 - 2012 > Biogeochemistry

UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:

Dise

ISSN:

1352-2310

Additional Keywords:

air quality modelling, model intercomparison, episodic peak ozone levels, emission sensitivities, NOx and VOC emissions