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Cold spells, fresh waves, and the biogeochemical response in the North Atlantic Cold Anomaly region

Jebri, Fatma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-0068; Jacobs, Zoe L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7348-0699; Srokosz, Meric ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411; Popova, Ekaterina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2012-708X; Hartman, Susan E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6363-1331; Josey, Simon A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831. 2025 Cold spells, fresh waves, and the biogeochemical response in the North Atlantic Cold Anomaly region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 130 (4). 10.1029/2024JC022001

Abstract
Regional effects of marine cold spells (MCS, periods of anomalous cooling), their impact on ecosystem biogeochemistry, and link to salinity extremes remain underexplored. A case in point is North Atlantic's Cold Anomaly (CA) region (known as the “cold blob”), which hits record low temperatures during 2014–16 while most of the global ocean warmed. Using up to 42 years of observations, we characterize the CA as a manifestation of both MCS and Fresh Waves (FW, low salinity extremes) and analyze the surface biogeochemical response. We observe a quasiperiodic pattern of MCS from the 1980s and FW (at least) from the 1990s to early 2020s in the CA region with alternations from cool and freshwater to warm and saline conditions. Since 1990s, the CA region appears to be potentially undergoing MCS and FW compound events that are more frequent and prolonged but less intense than other North Atlantic areas. The 2014-16 CA was among the most widespread and prolonged MCS and FW events associated with a deeper mixed layer and distinct biogeochemical signature, including elevated nutrients and oxygen, an overall increased chlorophyll-a and intensified ocean acidification. These results suggest that MCS could mitigate certain climate change effects through cooling and enhanced productivity, while exacerbating others such as ocean acidification. We compare 2014–16 CA region effects with those of Pacific's warm blob, identifying contrasting behaviors from physical processes to biogeochemical impacts and discussing a common atmospheric driver. Our findings emphasize the need to further study ecological responses to MCS in the North Atlantic.
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Programmes:
NOC Programmes > Ocean BioGeosciences
NOC Programmes > Marine Physics and Ocean Climate
NOC Programmes > Marine Systems Modelling
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