Antarctic greening is constrained by biology and requires field validation [matters arising]

Bokhorst, S.; Huisman, S.; de Jonge, I.K.; Janssen, T.A.J.; Cornelissen, J.H.C.; Hughes, K.A.; Convey, P.

Bokhorst, S.; Huisman, S.; de Jonge, I.K.; Janssen, T.A.J.; Cornelissen, J.H.C.; Hughes, K.A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2701-726X; Convey, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8497-9903. 2026 Antarctic greening is constrained by biology and requires field validation [matters arising]. Nature Geoscience. 4, pp. 10.1038/s41561-026-02076-0

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Abstract

Climate change is driving vegetation expansion in polar regions. Roland et al.1 report a 14-fold greening trend across the Antarctic Peninsula region since the 1980s, based on satellite data. However, the study lacks consistent satellite imagery across regions and time, and the greening rate exceeds the theoretical pace at which Antarctic vegetation can expand. While vegetation cover is generally expected to increase with warming, it is likely to do so at much slower rates than reported.

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Information

Programmes:

BAS Programmes 2015 > Biodiversity, Evolution and Adaptation
BAS Programmes 2015 > Organisational

Official URL:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-026-02076-0

Related URLs:

Digital Object Identifier (DOI):

10.1038/s41561-026-02076-0

ISSN:

17520894