Tropical Africa’s first testbed for high-impact weather forecasting and nowcasting

Fletcher, Jennifer; Diop, C; Adefisan, Elijah; Ahiataku, M; Ansah, S. O.; Birch, Cathryn; Burns, H. L.; Clarke, S. J.; Gacheru, J.; James, T. D.; Ngetich Tuikong, C. K.; Koros, David; Indasi, V. S.; Lamptey, Benjamin; Lawal, K. A.; Parker, Douglas; Roberts, A. J.; Stein, T. H. M.; Visman, Emma ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5215-1818; Warner, James; Woodhams, Bethany J.; Youds, Lorraine H.; Ajayi, V. O.; Bosire, E. N.; Cafaro, Carlo; Camara, C. A. T.; Chanzu, B.; Dione, C.; Gitau, W.; Groves, D.; Groves, J.; Hill, P. G.; Ishiyaku, I.; Klein, Cornelia ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6686-0458; Marsham, J. H.; Mutai, B. K.; Ndiaye, P. N.; Osei, Marian; Popoola, T. I.; Talib, Joshua ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4183-1973; Taylor, Christopher ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0120-3198; Walker, D.. 2023 Tropical Africa’s first testbed for high-impact weather forecasting and nowcasting. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (8). E1409-E1425. 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0156.1

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0156.1

Abstract/Summary

Testbeds have become integral to advancing the transfer of knowledge and capabilities from research to operational weather forecasting in many parts of the world. The first high-impact weather testbed in tropical Africa was recently carried out through the African SWIFT program, with participation from researchers and forecasters from Senegal, Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya, the United Kingdom, and international and pan-African organizations. The testbed aims were to trial new forecasting and nowcasting products with operational forecasters, to inform future research, and to act as a template for future testbeds in the tropics. The African SWIFT testbed integrated users and researchers throughout the process to facilitate development of impact-based forecasting methods and new research ideas driven both by operations and user input. The new products are primarily satellite-based nowcasting systems and ensemble forecasts at global and regional convection-permitting scales. Neither of these was used operationally in the participating African countries prior to the testbed. The testbed received constructive, positive feedback via intense user interaction including fishery, agriculture, aviation, and electricity sectors. After the testbed, a final set of recommended standard operating procedures for satellite-based nowcasting in tropical Africa have been produced. The testbed brought the attention of funding agencies and organizational directors to the immediate benefit of improved forecasts. Delivering the testbed strengthened the partnership between each country’s participating university and weather forecasting agency and internationally, which is key to ensuring the longevity of the testbed outcomes.

Item Type:	Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):	10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0156.1
UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:	Hydro-climate Risks (Science Area 2017-)
ISSN:	0003-0007
Additional Information. Not used in RCUK Gateway to Research.:	Open Access paper - full text available via Official URL link.
Additional Keywords:	Africa, tropics, forecasting techniques, nowcasting, decision making, emergency response
NORA Subject Terms:	Meteorology and Climatology
Date made live:	19 Apr 2023 13:59 +0 (UTC)
URI:	https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/533364

Item Type:

Publication - Article

Digital Object Identifier (DOI):

10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0156.1

UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:

Hydro-climate Risks (Science Area 2017-)

ISSN:

0003-0007

Additional Information. Not used in RCUK Gateway to Research.:

Open Access paper - full text available via Official URL link.

Additional Keywords:

Africa, tropics, forecasting techniques, nowcasting, decision making, emergency response