Guarino, Maria Vittoria
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7531-4560; Sime, Louise C.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9093-7926; Schröeder, David; Malmierca Vallet, Irene
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2871-9741; Rosenblum, Erica; Ringer, Mark; Ridley, Jeff; Feltham, Danny; Bitz, Cecilia; Steig, Eric J.; Wolff, Eric; Stroeve, Julienne; Sellar, Alistair.
2020
Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss.
Nature Climate Change, 10.
928-932.
10.1038/s41558-020-0865-2
Abstract
The Last Interglacial (LIG), a warmer period 130,000–116,000 years before present, is a potential analogue for future climate change. Stronger LIG summertime insolation at high northern latitudes drove Arctic land summer temperatures 4–5 °C higher than in the pre-industrial era. Climate model simulations have previously failed to capture these elevated temperatures, possibly because they were unable to correctly capture LIG sea-ice changes. Here, we show that the latest version of the fully coupled UK Hadley Center climate model (HadGEM3) simulates a more accurate Arctic LIG climate, including elevated temperatures. Improved model physics, including a sophisticated sea-ice melt-pond scheme, result in a complete simulated loss of Arctic sea ice in summer during the LIG, which has yet to be simulated in past generations of models. This ice-free Arctic yields a compelling solution to the long-standing puzzle of what drove LIG Arctic warmth and supports a fast retreat of future Arctic summer sea ice.
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526095:175136
18887_2_merged_1594159790_asaccepted.pdf
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526095:175130
18887_2_supp_182760_qcdfmf_convrt_asaccepted.pdf
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Programmes:
BAS Programmes 2015 > Ice Dynamics and Palaeoclimate
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