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Non-additive response of the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere climate to aerosol forcing in a climate model with interactive chemistry

Pope, James ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8945-4209; Orr, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5111-8402; Marshall, Gareth ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8887-7314; Abraham, Nathan Luke. 2020 Non-additive response of the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere climate to aerosol forcing in a climate model with interactive chemistry. Atmospheric Science Letters, 21 (12), e1004. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1004

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This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. © 2020 The Authors. Atmospheric Science Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society
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Abstract/Summary

A suite of chemistry‐climate model simulations, forced by pairs of anthropogenic forcings [comprising greenhouse gases (GHGs), ozone depleting substances (ODSs), or aerosols], were employed to investigate whether the high‐latitude Southern Hemisphere (SH) circulation response to these forcings is linearly additive, a common assumption in attribution studies. We find that the geographical pattern of sea‐level pressure (SLP) response to a combination of GHGs and ODSs is linearly additive. However, we find significant differences in the SLP response when combining GHGs and aerosols compared to the sum of the individual forcings, a non‐additivity that is currently masked by the dominance of the ODSs forcing. This non‐linearity also results in changes to the SH split jet. These results were obtained using a coupled chemistry‐climate model, indicating that the non‐linear response is due to chemical interactions between the forcing agents. As such, future simulations investigating a post‐ozone hole Southern Hemisphere climate should consider this chemical interaction.

Item Type: Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1004
ISSN: 1530261X
Additional Keywords: Antarctica, anthropogenic aerosols, chemistry-climate models, greenhouse gases, ozone depletion, sea-level pressure
Date made live: 14 Jul 2020 09:21 +0 (UTC)
URI: https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/522731

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