Luca, Paolo De; Hillier, John K.; Wilby, Robert L.; Quinn, Nevil W.; Harrigan, Shaun
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0992-3667.
2017
Extreme multi-basin flooding linked with extra-tropical cyclones.
Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11), 114009.
12, pp.
10.1088/1748-9326/aa868e
Abstract
Fluvial floods are typically investigated as ‘events’ at the single basin-scale, hence flood management authorities may underestimate the threat of flooding across multiple basins driven by large-scale and nearly concurrent atmospheric event(s). We pilot a national-scale statistical analysis of the spatio-temporal characteristics of extreme multi-basin flooding (MBF) episodes, using peak river flow data for 260 basins in Great Britain (1975−2014), a sentinel region for storms impacting northwest and central Europe. During the most widespread MBF episode, 108 basins ( 46% of the study area) recorded annual maximum (AMAX) discharge within a 16 day window. Such episodes are associated with persistent cyclonic and westerly atmospheric circulations, atmospheric rivers, and precipitation falling onto previously saturated ground, leading to hydrological response times <40 h and documented flood impacts. Furthermore, peak flows tend to occur after 0−13 days of very severe gales causing combined and spatially-distributed, yet differentially time-lagged, wind and flood damages. These findings have implications for emergency responders, insurers and contingency planners worldwide.
Documents
518307:119886
N518307JA.pdf
- Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
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UKCEH and CEH Science Areas 2017-24 (Lead Area only) > Water Resources
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