The drying up of Britain?: a national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 regional climate model simulations

Prudhomme, Christel; Young, Andy; Watts, Glenn; Haxton, Tracey; Crooks, Sue; Williamson, Jennifer; Davies, Helen; Dadson, Simon; Allen, Stuart

NORA

The drying up of Britain?: a national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 regional climate model simulations

Prudhomme, Christel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1722-2497; Young, Andy; Watts, Glenn; Haxton, Tracey; Crooks, Sue; Williamson, Jennifer ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8216-5885; Davies, Helen; Dadson, Simon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6144-4639; Allen, Stuart. 2012 The drying up of Britain?: a national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 regional climate model simulations. Hydrological Processes, 26 (7). 1115-1118. 10.1002/hyp.8434

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Abstract

As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long-term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high-resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions.

Documents

15039:46521

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15039:46521

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Information

Programmes:

UNSPECIFIED

Official URL:

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.843...

Digital Object Identifier (DOI):

10.1002/hyp.8434

Programmes (Superseded):

CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 - 2012 > Water > WA Topic 1 - Variability and Change in Water Systems
CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 - 2012 > Water > WA Topic 3 - Science for Water Management

UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:

Reynard

ISSN:

0885-6087

NORA Subject Terms:

Data and Information
Hydrology

Additional Keywords:

hydrological impact assessment, river flows, climate change, adaptation, change factor method, 2050s

Additional Information:

The attached document is the author’s final manuscript version of the journal article, incorporating any revisions agreed during the peer review process. Some differences between this and the publisher’s version remain. You are advised to consult the publisher’s version if you wish to cite from this article. The definitive version is available at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Library

URI:

https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/15039

Item Type:

Publication - Article

Date made live:

20 Dec 2011 14:18

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