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Observed soil moisture impact on strong convection over mountainous Tibetan Plateau

Barton, E.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5945-9244; Taylor, C.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0120-3198; Klein, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6686-0458; Harris, P.P.; Meng, X.. 2021 Observed soil moisture impact on strong convection over mountainous Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (3). 561-572. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0129.1

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Abstract/Summary

Convection over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) has been linked to heavy rain and flooding in downstream parts of China. Understanding processes which influence the development of convection on the TP could contribute to better forecasting of these extreme events. TP scale (~1000 km) soil moisture gradients have been shown to influence formation of convective systems over the eastern TP. The importance of smaller-scale (~10 km) variability has been identified in other regions (including the Sahel and Mongolia) but has yet to be investigated for the TP. In addition, compared to studies over flat terrain, much less is known about soil moisture–convection feedbacks above complex topography. In this study we use satellite observations of cold cloud, land surface temperature, and soil moisture to analyze the effect of mesoscale soil moisture heterogeneity on the initiation of strong convection in the complex TP environment. We find that strong convection is favored over negative (positive) land surface temperature (soil moisture) gradients. The signal is strongest for less vegetation and low topographic complexity, though still significant up to a local standard deviation of 300 m in elevation, accounting for 65% of cases. In addition, the signal is dependent on background wind. Strong convective initiation is only sensitive to local (tens of kilometers) soil moisture heterogeneity for light wind speeds, though large-scale (hundreds of kilometers) gradients may still be important for strong wind speeds. Our results demonstrate that, even in the presence of complex topography, local soil moisture variability plays an important role in storm development.

Item Type: Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0129.1
UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas: Hydro-climate Risks (Science Area 2017-)
ISSN: 1525-755X
Additional Information. Not used in RCUK Gateway to Research.: Open Access paper - full text available via Official URL link.
Additional Keywords: Asia, atmosphere-land interaction, convective storms, mesoscale processes, orographic effects, soil moisture
NORA Subject Terms: Meteorology and Climatology
Atmospheric Sciences
Date made live: 16 Dec 2020 12:38 +0 (UTC)
URI: https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/529078

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