Methodological influences on F-region peak height trend analyses

Jarvis, M.J.; Clilverd, M.A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7388-1529; Ulich, Th.. 2002 Methodological influences on F-region peak height trend analyses. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 27 (6-8). 589-594. 10.1016/S1474-7065(02)00041-4

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Abstract/Summary

Published estimates of the trend in hmF2 using data from ionosondes over the last 30-40 years range from +0.8 to -0.6 km yr(-1) and are subject to the influence of several factors. These are considered here based upon an analysis of two southern hemisphere geomagnetically mid-latitude stations, Argentine Islands and Port Stanley. The influence of the equation used to calculate hmF2 at these stations can result in variations of +/-0.2 km yr(-1); choice of solar proxy has a small influence on the end result, where using E10.7 instead of F10.7 produces changes of -0.04 km yr(-1); neglecting any trends in geomagnetic activity can produce variations of +0.03 to +0.2 km yr(-1) at the two mid-latitude stations considered in this paper; for datasets of 30-40 years length ringing due to long memory processes can produce +/-0.2 km yr(-1) variability; the phase of the 11-year solar cycle, and its harmonics, captured by the datasets can cause variability of +/-0.5 km yr(-1); and the neglect of local time variations in thermospheric wind conditions could result in +0.2 km yr(-1) for analysis which only considers local midday data. The Argentine Islands and Port Stanley datasets show ringing terms that are still converging towards trend results of -0.25 to -0.30 km yr(-1), which are in close agreement with the satellite drag trend estimates.

Item Type:	Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):	10.1016/S1474-7065(02)00041-4
Programmes:	BAS Programmes > Antarctic Science in the Global Context (2000-2005) > Geospace Atmosphere Transfer Functions
ISSN:	1474-7065
Additional Keywords:	global change, ionosphere, thermosphere, trends
NORA Subject Terms:	Physics Atmospheric Sciences
Date made live:	16 Nov 2011 09:08 +0 (UTC)
URI:	https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/13410

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