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Response of marine climate to future climate change: application to coastal regions

Leake, James; Wolf, Judith; Lowe, Jason; Hall, Jim; Nicholls, Robert. 2009 Response of marine climate to future climate change: application to coastal regions. In: McKee Smith, Jane, (ed.) Proceedings of the 31st International Conference on Coastal Engineering 2008. Singapore, World Scientific Publ Co Pte Ltd, 4354-4364.

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Abstract/Summary

Here we present results from wave models of the north-east Atlantic and the north-west European continental shelf, forced by Met Office Hadley Centre climate model winds, for various future climate scenarios. The wave model (WAM) has been well-validated previously and here it is shown to be statistically in reasonable agreement with the ERA-40 reanalysis for present-day climate. Seasonal mean and extreme waves are generally expected to increase to the south-west of the UK, reduce to the north of the UK and experience little change in the southern North Sea. There are large uncertainties especially with the projected extreme values, so that although an upward trend in wave height is predicted, it may not be statistically significant

Item Type: Publication - Book Section
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): 10.1142/9789814277426_0361
Programmes: Oceans 2025 > Climate, ocean circulation and sea level
Oceans 2025 > Shelf and coastal processes
ISBN: 978-981-4277-36-5
Additional Keywords: waves, coastal impacts, climate change, numerical models, NW Europe
NORA Subject Terms: Marine Sciences
Meteorology and Climatology
Date made live: 15 Sep 2009 11:16
URI: http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/8090

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