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The drying up of Britain?: a national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 regional climate model simulations

Prudhomme, Christel; Young, Andy; Watts, Glenn; Haxton, Tracey; Crooks, Sue; Williamson, Jennifer; Davies, Helen; Dadson, Simon; Allen, Stuart. 2012 The drying up of Britain?: a national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 regional climate model simulations. Hydrological Processes, 26 (7). 1115-1118. 10.1002/hyp.8434

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Abstract/Summary

As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long-term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high-resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions.

Item Type: Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): 10.1002/hyp.8434
Programmes: CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 - 2012 > Water > WA Topic 1 - Variability and Change in Water Systems
CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 - 2012 > Water > WA Topic 3 - Science for Water Management
CEH Sections: Reynard
ISSN: 0885-6087
Additional Information. Not used in RCUK Gateway to Research.: The attached document is the author’s final manuscript version of the journal article, incorporating any revisions agreed during the peer review process. Some differences between this and the publisher’s version remain. You are advised to consult the publisher’s version if you wish to cite from this article. The definitive version is available at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Additional Keywords: hydrological impact assessment, river flows, climate change, adaptation, change factor method, 2050s
NORA Subject Terms: Data and Information
Hydrology
Date made live: 20 Dec 2011 14:18
URI: http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/15039

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