The drying up of Britain?: a national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 regional climate model simulations

Prudhomme, Christel; Young, Andy; Watts, Glenn; Haxton, Tracey; Crooks, Sue; Williamson, Jennifer; Davies, Helen; Dadson, Simon; Allen, Stuart. 2012 The drying up of Britain?: a national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 regional climate model simulations. Hydrological Processes, 26 (7). 1115-1118. 10.1002/hyp.8434

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Abstract/Summary

As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long-term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high-resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions.

Item Type:	Article
Identification Number/DOI:	10.1002/hyp.8434
Programmes:	CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 onwards > Water > WA Topic 1 - Variability and Change in Water Systems CEH Topics & Objectives 2009 onwards > Water > WA Topic 3 - Science for Water Management
CEH Sections:	Reynard
ISSN:	0885-6087
Additional Keywords:	hydrological impact assessment, river flows, climate change, adaptation, change factor method, 2050s
NORA Subject Terms:	Data and Information Hydrology
Date made live:	20 Dec 2011 14:18
URI:	http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/15039

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