Booth, Alice; Goodwin, Philip; Cael, B. B.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1317-5718.
2024
Ice sheet‐albedo feedback estimated from most recent deglaciation.
Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15).
10.1029/2024GL109953
Ice sheet feedbacks are underrepresented in model assessments of climate sensitivity and their magnitudes are still poorly constrained. We combine a recently published record of Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) with existing reconstructions of temperature, atmospheric composition, and sea level to estimate both the magnitude and timescale of the ice sheet-albedo feedback since the Last Glacial Maximum. This facilitates the first opportunity to quantify this feedback over the most recent deglaciation using a proxy data-driven approach. We find the ice sheet-albedo feedback to be amplifying, increasing the total climate feedback parameter by 42% and reaching an equilibrium magnitude of 0.55 Wm−2K−1, with a 66% confidence interval of 0.45–0.63 Wm−2K−1. The timescale to equilibrium is estimated as 3.6 ka (66% confidence: 1.9–5.5 ka). These results provide new evidence for the timescale and magnitude of the amplifying ice sheet-albedo feedback that will drive anthropogenic warming for millennia to come.
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.
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