Radioecology in CONFIDENCE: dealing with uncertainties relevant for decision making

Raskob, Wolfgang; Almahayni, Talal; Beresford, Nicholas A.. 2018 Radioecology in CONFIDENCE: dealing with uncertainties relevant for decision making. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity, 192. 399-404.

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The CONFIDENCE project is performing research on uncertainties in emergency management and post-accident recovery. It concentrates on the early and transition phases of an emergency, but considers also longer-term decisions made during these phases. To ensure success, the project brings together expertise from four European Radiation Protection Research Platforms (NERIS, MELODI, ALLIANCE and EURADOS) and also from the area of social sciences and humanities. This paper presents an overview of the CONFIDENCE project with a focus on CONFIDENCE's consideration of the radioecology required to support emergency management and post-accident recovery. For instance, operational decisions concerning land and foodchain management rely on radioecological models that are at present mostly based on simple, but highly uncertain, transfer ratios to predict contamination in foodstuffs. CONFIDENCE will investigate if process-based models are better suited to reducing uncertainties associated with empirical ratio based models. Model improvements and uncertainty reduction might be also possible by better evaluating past experience from Chernobyl and Fukushima.

Item Type: Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):
UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas: Pollution (Science Area 2017-)
ISSN: 0265-931X
Additional Keywords: radioecology, uncertainties, decision support, emergency, post-accident, radioecological modelling, transfer to human food, process-based models, countermeasure strategies, atmospheric ensembles
NORA Subject Terms: Ecology and Environment
Date made live: 25 Jul 2018 11:55 +0 (UTC)

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