Global Tipping Points Report 2023: Ch1.5: Climate tipping point interactions and cascades.

Wunderling, Nico; von der Heydt, Anna; Aksenov, Yevgeny ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6132-3434; Barker, Stephen; Bastiaansen, Robbin; Brovkin, Victor; Brunetti, Maura; Couplet, Victor; Kleinen, Thomas; Lear, Caroline H.; Lohmann, Johannes; Roman-Cuesta, Rosa M.; Sinet, Sacha; Swingedouw, Didier; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Anand, Pallavi; Barichivich, Jonathan; Bathiany, Sebastian; Baudena, Mara ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1334-4577; Bruun, John T.; Chiessi, Cristiano M.; Coxall, Helen K.; Docquier, David; Donges, Jonathan F.; Falkena, Swinda K.J.; Klose, Ann Kristin; Obura, David; Rocha, Juan; Rynders, Stefanie ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1334-4577; Steinert, Norman J.; Willeit, Matteo. 2023 Global Tipping Points Report 2023: Ch1.5: Climate tipping point interactions and cascades. University of Exeter.

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Official URL: https://global-tipping-points.org/

Abstract/Summary

This chapter reviews interactions between climate tipping systems and assesses the potential risk of cascading effects. After a definition of tipping system interactions, we map out the current state of the literature on specific interactions between climate tipping systems that may be important for the overall stability of the climate system. For this, we gather evidence from model simulations, observations and conceptual understanding, as well as archetypal examples of palaeoclimate reconstructions where propagating transitions were potentially at play. This chapter concludes by identifying crucial knowledge gaps in tipping system interactions that should be resolved in order to improve risk assessments of cascading transitions under future climate change scenarios.