Transformative change needs direction

Jacobs, Sander; Santos-Martín, Fernando; Primmer, Eeva; Boeraeve, Fanny; Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra; Proença, Vânia; Schlaepfer, Martin; Brotons, Lluis; Dunford, Robert; Lavorel, Sandra; Guisan, Antoine; Claudet, Joachim; Harmáčková, Zuzana V.; Liekens, Inge; Hauck, Jennifer; Kok, Kasper; Zinngrebe, Yves; Pedde, Simona; Czúcz, Bálint; Solidoro, Cosimo; Cantele, Matthew; Rixen, Christian; Heck, Anna; Desair, Jomme; Plieninger, Tobias; Harrison, Paula A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9873-3338. 2022 Transformative change needs direction. Sustainability, 14 (22), 14844. 9, pp. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su142214844

Abstract/Summary

Comparing the impacts of future scenarios is essential for developing and guiding the political sustainability agenda. This review-based analysis compares six IPBES scenarios for their impacts on 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 20 biodiversity targets (Aichi targets) for the Europe and Central Asia regions. The comparison is based on a review of 143 modeled scenarios synthesized in a plural cost–benefit approach which provides the distances to multiple policy goals. We confirm and substantiate the claim that transformative change is vital but also point out which directions for political transformation are to be preferred. The hopeful message is that large societal losses might still be avoided, and multiple benefits can be generated over the coming decades and centuries. Yet, policies will need to strongly steer away from scenarios based on regional competition, inequality, and economic optimism.

Item Type:	Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):	https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844
UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:	Soils and Land Use (Science Area 2017-) Biodiversity (Science Area 2017-)
ISSN:	2071-1050
Additional Information. Not used in RCUK Gateway to Research.:	Open Access paper - full text available via Official URL link.
Additional Keywords:	transformation, plural valuation, Sustainable Development Goals, policy scenarios
NORA Subject Terms:	Ecology and Environment
Date made live:	16 Dec 2022 12:05 +0 (UTC)
URI:	https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/533622

Item Type:

Publication - Article

Digital Object Identifier (DOI):

https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214844

UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:

Soils and Land Use (Science Area 2017-)
Biodiversity (Science Area 2017-)

ISSN:

2071-1050

Additional Information. Not used in RCUK Gateway to Research.:

Open Access paper - full text available via Official URL link.

Additional Keywords:

transformation, plural valuation, Sustainable Development Goals, policy scenarios