How well can we forecast high biomass algal bloom events in a eutrophic coastal sea?

Allen, J. Icarus; Smyth, Timothy J.; Siddorn, John R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3848-8868; Holt, Martin. 2008 How well can we forecast high biomass algal bloom events in a eutrophic coastal sea? Harmful Algae, 8 (1). 70-76. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2008.08.024

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2008.08.024

Abstract/Summary

High biomass algal bloom events are a characteristic of eutrophic coastal waters; these may result both in ecosystem degradation and economic loss. We present a skill evaluation of a coupled hydrodynamic ecosystem model of the NW European shelf for predicting bloom events based on a comparison with satellite chlorophyll estimates. By setting thresholds to define bloom events we use a binary classification system to generate maps showing the probability a model bloom prediction is correct. Model and satellite data limitations are discussed along with the application of this method to forecasting specific harmful algal species.

Item Type:	Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2008.08.024
ISSN:	15689883
Date made live:	20 Apr 2021 14:30 +0 (UTC)
URI:	https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/530107

Item Type:

Publication - Article

Digital Object Identifier (DOI):

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2008.08.024

ISSN:

15689883

Date made live:

20 Apr 2021 14:30 +0 (UTC)

URI:

https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/530107