Integrated species distribution models: a comparison of approaches under different data quality scenarios

Ahmad Suhaimi, Siti Sarah; Blair, Gordon S.; Jarvis, Susan G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5382-5135. 2021 Integrated species distribution models: a comparison of approaches under different data quality scenarios. Diversity and Distributions, 27 (6). 1066-1075. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13255

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Abstract/Summary

Aim: Integrated species distribution modelling has emerged as a useful tool for ecologists to exploit the range of information available on where species occur. In particular, the ability to combine large numbers of ad hoc or presence‐only (PO) records with more structured presence–absence (PA) data can allow ecologists to account for biases in PO data which often confound modelling efforts. A range of modelling techniques have been suggested to implement integrated species distribution models (IDMs) including joint likelihood models, including one dataset as a covariate or informative prior, and fitting a correlation structure between datasets. We aim to investigate the performance of different types of integrated models under realistic ecological data scenarios. Innovation: We use a virtual ecologist approach to investigate which integrated model is most advantageous under varying levels of spatial bias in PO data, sample size of PA data and spatial overlap between datasets. Main conclusions: Joint likelihood models were the best performing models when spatial bias in PO data was low, or could be modelled, but gave poor estimates when there were unknown biases in the data. Correlation models provided good model estimates even when there were unknown biases and when good quality PA data were spatially limited. Including PO data via an informative prior provided little improvement over modelling PA data alone and was inferior to using either the joint likelihood or correlation approach. Our results suggest that correlation models provide a robust alternative to joint likelihood models when covariates related to effort or detection in PO data are not available. Ecologists should be aware of the limitations of each approach and consider how well biases in the data can be modelled when deciding which type of IDM to use.

Item Type:	Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):	https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13255
UKCEH and CEH Sections/Science Areas:	Soils and Land Use (Science Area 2017-)
ISSN:	1366-9516
Additional Information. Not used in RCUK Gateway to Research.:	Open Access paper - full text available via Official URL link.
Additional Keywords:	citizen science, distribution, informative prior, integrated model, joint likelihood, presence–absence, presence-only, simulation
NORA Subject Terms:	Ecology and Environment
Date made live:	01 Mar 2021 13:00 +0 (UTC)
URI:	https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/529767

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