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Impact of climate change on health: what is required of climate modellers?

Huntingford, C.; Hemming, D.; Gash, J.H.C.; Gedney, N.; Nuttall, P.A.. 2007 Impact of climate change on health: what is required of climate modellers? Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 101 (2). 97-103. 10.1016/j.trstmh.2006.11.001

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Abstract/Summary

The potential impacts of climate change on human health are significant, ranging from direct effects such as heat stress and flooding, to indirect influences including changes in disease transmission and malnutrition in response to increased competition for crop and water resources. Development agencies and policy makers tasked with implementing adaptive strategies recognize the need to plan for these impacts. However at present there is little guidance on how to prioritize their funding to best improve the resilience of vulnerable communities. Here we address this issue by arguing that closer collaboration between the climate modelling and health communities is required to provide the focused information necessary to best inform policy makers. The immediate requirement is to create multidisciplinary research teams bringing together skills in both climate and health modelling. This will enable considerable information exchange, and closer collaboration will highlight current uncertainties and hopefully routes to their reduction. We recognize that climate is only one aspect influencing the highly complex behaviour of health and disease issues. However we are optimistic that climate–health model simulations, including uncertainty bounds, will provide much needed estimates of the likely impacts of climate change on human health.

Item Type: Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): 10.1016/j.trstmh.2006.11.001
Programmes: CEH Programmes pre-2009 publications > Biogeochemistry
CEH Programmes pre-2009 publications > Biodiversity
CEH Sections: Harding (to July 2011)
ISSN: 0035-9203
Additional Keywords: climate change, health, malaria, Vector-borne diseases, heat stress, theoretical models
NORA Subject Terms: Meteorology and Climatology
Mathematics
Health
Date made live: 24 Jan 2008 16:34
URI: http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/2180

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