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Interpreting intraplate tectonics for seismic hazard : a UK historical perspective

Musson, R.M.W.. 2012 Interpreting intraplate tectonics for seismic hazard : a UK historical perspective. Journal of Seismology, 16 (2). 261-273. 10.1007/s10950-011-9268-1

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Abstract/Summary

It is notoriously difficult to construct seismic source models for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in intraplate areas on the basis of geological information, and many practitioners have given up the task in favour of purely seismicity-based models. This risks losing potentially valuable information in regions where the earthquake catalogue is short compared to the seismic cycle. It is interesting to survey how attitudes to this issue have evolved over the past 30 years. This paper takes the UK as an example, and traces the evolution of seismic source models through generations of hazard studies. It is found that in the UK, while the earliest studies did not consider regional tectonics in any way, there has been a gradual evolution towards more tectonically based models. Experience in other countries, of course, may differ.

Item Type: Publication - Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): 10.1007/s10950-011-9268-1
Programmes: BGS Programmes 2010 > Earth hazards and systems
Date made live: 21 May 2012 10:41
URI: http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/18122

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